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Matteo Paradisi Publications

Discussion Paper
Abstract

This paper studies the interaction between the decrease in the gender pay gap and the stagnation in younger workers’ careers, analyzing data from Italy and the United States. The changing mix of cohorts among employed men and women accounts for the entire decline in the aggregate pay gap, holding each cohort’s male and female earnings fixed at their initial observed levels. We highlight younger men’s positional losses within firms’ hierarchies as an important factor driving convergence at labor-market entry. We propose a mechanism by which workforce aging limits career growth for younger workers, disproportionately affecting younger men’s trends. Consistent with this explanation, younger men experience the largest positional losses within the firms that are more exposed to workforce aging. We show that these results are robust when accounting for alternative channels, including changes in participation, education, the child penalty, and deindustrialization. Finally, we document that the retirement of older cohorts can account for all of the gender pay gap decline after the mid-1990s.