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Research Staff

Ray C. Fair

John M. Musser Professor of Economics and Professor of Management

Ray C. Fair is the John M. Musser Professor of Economics at Yale University. He previously was at Princeton University and served as a visiting associate professor at M.I.T. He is a fellow of the Econometric Society.

Fair’s main research is in macroeconometrics, but he has also done work in the areas of finance, voting behavior, and aging in sports. He has made quarterly updates of his U.S. macroeconometric model and made forecasts since 1983. He has made four-year updates of his presidential vote share equation and made forecasts since 1980. He has estimated how fast people should slow down as they age if they remain in peak shape. His current research includes estimating the costs of contact in college and high school sports and in examining the history of infrastructure. People can use his website to estimate how fast they should be declining as they age. One can also compute predictions of U.S. presidential and congressional elections. And one can work on line with his macroeconometric models. The website is: https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/.

Ph.D. Economics, M.I.T., February 1968
B.A. Economics, Fresno State College, June 1964