Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1599 Trude Storelvmo, Ulla K. Heede, Thomas Leirvik, Peter C. B. Phillips, Philipp Arndt, Martin Wild, "Lethargic Response to Aerosol Emissions in Current Climate Models," Geophysical Research Letters, (August 2018), 45(15): 1-10
CFP 1598 Tingting Cheng, Jiti Gao, Peter C. B. Phillips, "A Frequentist Approach to Bayesian Asymptotics," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2018), 206(2): 359-378
CFP 1597 Georg Nöldeke, Larry Samuelson, "The Implementation Duality," Econometrica, (July 2018), 86(4): 1283-1324
CFP 1596 Costas Arkolakis, Natalia Ramondo, Andréz Rodríguez-Clare, Stephen Yeaple, "Innovation and Production in the Global Economy," American Economic Review, (August 2018), 108(8): 2128-2173
CFP 1595 Marina Halac, Pierre Yared, "Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy," American Economic Review, (August 2018), 108(8): 2305-2334
CFP 1594 William D. Nordhaus, "Projections and Uncertainties about Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, (August 2018), 10(3): 333-360 [See CFDP 2057]
CFP 1593 Dirk Bergemann, Johannes Hörner, "Should First-Price Auctions Be Transparent?," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (August 2018), 10(3): 177-218 [See CFDP 1764R2]
CFP 1592 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, "Financial Bubble Implosion and Reverse Regression," Econometric Theory, (August 2018), 34(4): 705 - 753
CFP 1591 Andrew B. Bernard, J. Bradford Jensen, Stephen J. Redding, Peter K. Schott, "Global Firms," Journal of Economic Literature, (June 2018), 56(2): 565-619
CFP 1590 Xiaohong Chen, Oliver B. Linton, Yanping Yi, "Semiparametric Identification of the Bid–ask Spread in Extended Roll Models," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2017), 200(2): 312-325 [See CFDP 2033]
CFP 1589 Eva Lyubich, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker, "Regulating Mismeasured Pollution: Implications of Firm Heterogeneity for Environmental Policy," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2018), 108 (5): 136-142
CFP 1588 Teresa C. Fort, Justin R. Pierce, Peter K. Schott, "New Perspectives on the Decline of US Manufacturing Employment ," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (May 2018), 32(2): 47-72
CFP 1587 Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, "Optimal Sup‐Norm Rates And Uniform Inference On Nonlinear Functionals Of Nonparametric IV Regression," Quantitative Economics, (March 2018), 9(1): 1759-7331 [See CFDP 1923R2]
CFP 1586 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Dynamic Panel Anderson-Hsiao Estimation with Roots Near Unity," Econometric Theory, (April 2018), 34(2): 253-276
CFP 1585 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, "Optimal Inference in a Class of Regression Models," Econometrica, (March 2018), 86(2): 655-683 [See CFDP 2043R2]
CFP 1584 Costas Meghir, Mårten Palme, Emilia Simeonova, "Education and Mortality: Evidence from a Social Experiment," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, (April 2018), 10(2): 234-256
CFP 1583 Steven T. Berry, Philip A. Haile, "Identification of Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations Models With a Residual Index Structure," Econometrica, (January 2018), 86(1): 289–315 [See CFDP 2008R]
CFP 1582 Mitsuru Igami, "Industry Dynamics of Offshoring: The Case of Hard Disk Drives," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (February 2018), 10(1): 67-101
CFP 1581 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, Alex Smolin, "The Design and Price of Information," American Economic Review, (January 2018), 108(1): 1-48 [See CFDP 2049R]
CFP 1580 Florian Ederer, Alexander Stremitzer, "Promises and expectations," Games and Economic Behavior, (November 2017), 106: 161-178 [See CFDP 1931R]
CFP 1579 Shigeru Fujita, Giuseppe Moscarini, "Recall and Unemployment," American Economic Review, (December 2017), 107(12): 3875-3916
CFP 1578 John Geanakoplos, "General Equilibrium with Incomplete Markets: A Comment," Value and Capital: Fifty Years Later, Macmillan, London 1991,: 145-150 (Lionel McKenzie and Stefano Zamagni, eds.)
CFP 1577 John Geanakoplos, "Afriat from MaxMin," Econometric Theory, (November 2013), 54 (3): 443-448
CFP 1576 Lars Tyge Nielsen, Adam Brandenburger, John Geanakoplos, Richard McKelvey, Talbot Page, "Common Knowledge of an Aggregate of Expectations," Econometrica, (September 1990), 58 (5): 1235-1239
CFP 1575 Heracles M. Polemarchakis, John Geanakoplos, "On the Disaggregation of Excess Demand Functions," Econometrica, (March 1980), 48(2): 315-332 [See CFDP 642]
CFP 1574 John Geanakoplos, Heracles M. Polemarchakis, "Overlapping Generations," Handbook of Mathematical Economics, (1991) Volume 4: 1899-1960 (Chapter 35)
CFP 1573 William C. Brainard, Herbert E. Scarf, "How to Compute Equilibrium Prices in 1891," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, (January 2005), 64(1): 57–83 [See CFDP 1272]
CFP 1572 Jeremy I. Bulow, John Geanakoplos, "Greece's Sovereign Debt and Economic Realism," CEPR: Policy Insights, (2017), (June 2017), (90): 1-11
CFP 1571 John Geanakoplos, "Kenneth Arrow's Contributions to General Equilibrium," Econometrica, (September 2017), 1-9 (In Remembrance of Kenneth Arrow)
CFP 1570 Donald W. K. Andrews, Patrik Guggenberger, "Asymptotic Size of Kleibergen's LM and Conditional LR Tests for Moment Condition Models," Econometric Theory, (October 2017), 33(5): 1046-1080 [See CFDP 1977]
CFP 1569 Yi-Chun Chen, Alfredo Di Tillio, Eduardo Faingold, Siyang Xiong, "Characterizing the Strategic Impact of Misspecified Beliefs," Review of Economic Studies, (October 2017), 84(4): 1424–1471 [See CFDP 1875]
CFP 1568 Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua D. Angrist, Yusuke Narita, Parag A. Pathak, "Research Design Meets Market Design: Using Centralized Assignment for Impact Evaluation," Econometrica, (September 2017), 85(5): 1373-1432 [See CFDP 2080]
CFP 1567 Matthias Doepke, Fabrizio Zilibotti, "Parenting with Style: Altruism and Paternalism in Intergenerational Preference Transmission," Econometrica, (September 2017), 85(5): 1331-1371
CFP 1566 Olivier Deschenes, Michael Greenstone, Joseph S. Shapiro, "Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program," American Economic Review, (2017), (October 2017), 107(10): 2958-89 [See CFDP 2086]
CFP 1565 Peter C. B. Phillips, Degui Li, Jiti Gao, "Estimating Smooth Structural Changes in Cointegration Models," Journal of Econometrics, (January 2017), 196(1): 180-195 [See CFDP 1910]
CFP 1564 Peter C. B. Phillips, Wayne Yuan Gao, "Structural Inference from Reduced Forms with Many Instruments," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2017), 199(3): 96-116
CFP 1563 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Reduced Forms and Weak Instrumentation," Econometric Reviews, (September 2017), 199(2): 818-839
CFP 1562 Chirok Han, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul, "Lag Length Selection in Panel Autoregression," Econometric Reviews, (November 2015), 1(3): 225-240
CFP 1561 Maria Kyriacou, Peter C. B. Phillips, Francesca Rossi, "Indirect Inference in Spatial Autoregression," Econometrics Journal, (June 2017), 20(2): 168-189
CFP 1560 Aris Spanos, Peter C. B. Phillips, "ET Obituary: Phoebus J. Dhyrmes (1932-2016)," Economic Theory, (August 2017), 33(5): 1039-1045
CFP 1559 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Tribute to T. W. Anderson," Economic Theory, (April 2017), 33(3): 529-533 [See CFDP 2081]
CFP 1558 Hanying Liang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Hanchao Wang, Qiying Wang, "Weak Convergence to Stochastic Integrals for Econometric Applications," Econometric Theory, (December 2016), 32(6): 1349-1375 [See CFDP 1971]
CFP 1557 Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Hot Property in New Zealand: Empirical Evidence of Housing Bubbles in the Metropolitan Centres," New Zealand Economic Papers, (August 2015), 50(1): 88-113 [See CFDP 2004]
CFP 1556 Isaiah Andrews, Timothy B. Armstrong, "Unbiased Instrumental Variables Estimation Under Known First‐Stage Sign," Quantitative Economics, (July 2017), 8(2): 479–503 [See CFDP 1984R5]
CFP 1555 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Edmond Malinvaud – an Economist's Econometrician," Annals of Economics and Statistics, (June 2017), 125/126: 135-151
CFP 1554 Stephen Morris, Dirk Bergemann, "Belief-free rationalizability and informational robustness," Games and Economic Behavior, (July 2017), 104: 744–759 [See CFDP 2066]
CFP 1553 Ji Hyung Lee, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Asset pricing with financial bubble risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, (September 2016), 38, Part B: 590-622
CFP 1552 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "A multivariate stochastic unit root model with an application to derivative pricing," Journal of Econometrics, (January 2017), 196(1): 99-110 [PDF icon Addendum]
CFP 1551 Michael D. König, Dominic Rohner, Mathias Thoenig, Fabrizio Zilibotti, "Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence From the Great War of Africa," Econometrica, (July 2017), 85(4): 1093–1132
CFP 1550 Ryota Iijima, Yuichiro Kamada, "Social Distance and Network Structures," Theoretical Economics, (June 2017), 12 (2): 655–689

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.