Discussion Papers

CFDP 2168 Robert J. Shiller, "Narratives About Technology-Induced Job Degradation Then and Now," (February 2019) [24pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2167 Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, "Non-Exclusive Insurance with Free Entry: A Pedagogical Note," (February 2019) [11pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2166R Ray C. Fair, "Variable Mismeasurement in a Class of DSGE Models: Comment," (February 2019, Revised July 2019) [9pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2166)
CFDP 2166 Ray C. Fair, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models: Comment," (February 2019) [9pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2165R Ray C. Fair, "Some Important Macro Points," (February 2019, Revised July 2019) [39pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2165)
CFDP 2165 Ray C. Fair, "Some Important Macro Points," (February 2019) [29pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2164R Nicholas Ryan, "Contract Enforcement and Productive Efficiency: Evidence from the Bidding and Renegotiation of Power Contracts in India," (February 2019, Revised August 2019) [69pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2164)
CFDP 2164 Nicholas Ryan, "Contract Enforcement and Productive Efficiency: Evidence from the Bidding and Renegotiation of Power Contracts in India," (February 2019) [65pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2163 Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis, Federico Espósito, "Spatial Linkages, Global Shocks, and Local Labor Markets: Theory and Evidence," (February 2019) [108pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2162R Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Counterfactuals with Latent Information," (January 2019, Revised February 2019) [33pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2162 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Counterfactuals with Latent Information," (January 2019) [26pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2161R George J. Mailath, Larry Samuelson, "Learning under Diverse World Views: Model-Based Inference," (January 2019, Revised September 2019) [58pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2161)
CFDP 2161 George J. Mailath, Larry Samuelson, "The Wisdom of a Confused Crowd: Model-Based Inference," (January 2019) [58pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2161R)
CFDP 2160 Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Misinterpreting Others and the Fragility of Social Learning," (January 2019) [54pp, Abstract][Supplemental material ,17 pp]
CFDP 2159 Gerald David Jaynes, "Endogenous Beliefs and Institutional Structure in Competitive Equilibrium with Adverse Selection," (January 2019) [37pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2158R Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, "Sensitivity Analysis using Approximate Moment Condition Models," (November 2018, Revised February 2019) [68pp, Abstract][Supplemental material ,14 pp]
CFDP 2158 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, "Sensitivity Analysis using Approximate Moment Condition Models," (November 2018) [66pp, Abstract][Supplemental material ,14 pp]
CFDP 2157 Soheil Ghili, Ehsan Kazemi, Amin Karbasi, "Eliminating Latent Discrimination: Train Then Mask," (January 2019) [10pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2156 Gerald David Jaynes, "A Behavioral Interpretation of the Origins of African American Family Structure," (November 2018) [34pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2155 Yusuke Narita, Shota Yasui, Kohei Yata, "Efficient Counterfactual Learning from Bandit Feedback," (December 2018) [15pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2154 John Geanakoplos, Haobin Wang, "Quantitative Easing, Collateral Constraints, and Financial Spillovers," (December 2018) [43pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2153 Peter C. B. Phillips, Yonghui Zhang, Xiaohu Wang, "HAR Testing for Spurious Regression in Trend," (December 2018) [36pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2152 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, "Real Time Monitoring of Asset Markets: Bubbles and Crises," (November 2018) [24pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2151 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Understanding Temporal Aggregation Effects on Kurtosis in Financial Indices," (June 2018) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2150 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Dynamic Panel Modeling of Climate Change," (December 2018) [33pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2149 Joyee Deb, Aniko Öry (Oery), Kevin R. Williams, "Aiming for the Goal: Contribution Dynamics of Crowdfunding," (December 2018) [62pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2148 Tilman Börgers, Jiangtao Li, "Strategically Simple Mechanisms," (December 2018) [58pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2147R Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Countering the Winner’s Curse: Optimal Auction Design in a Common Value Model," (November 2018, Revised June 2019) [40pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2147)
CFDP 2147 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Countering the Winner’s Curse: Optimal Auction Design in a Common Value Model," (November 2018) [37pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2146R Timothy B. Armstrong, "Adaptation Bounds for Confidence Bands under Self-Similarity," (October 2018, Revised July 2019) [33pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2146)
CFDP 2146 Timothy B. Armstrong, "Adaptation Bounds for Confidence Bands under Self-Similarity," (October 2018) [31pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2146R)
CFDP 2145 Orazio P. Attanasio, Helen Baker-Henningham, Raquel Bernal, Costas Meghir, Diana Pineda, Marta Rubio-Codina, "Early Stimulation and Nutrition: The Impacts of a Scalable Intervention," (August 2018) [47pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2144 Soheil Ghili, Matthew Schmitt, "Risk Aversion and Double Marginalization," (August 2018) [46pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2143 Andrés González Lira, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Enforcing Regulation under Illicit Adaptation," (August 2018) [63pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2142 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, "Markets for Information: An Introduction," (August 2018) [31pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2141 Philip A. Haile, Yuichi Kitamura, "Unobserved Heterogeneity in Auctions," (August 2018) [29pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2140 Ray C. Fair, "Information Content of DSGE Forecasts," (August 2018) [17pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2139 Lori Beaman, Ariel BenYishay, Jeremy Magruder, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Can Network Theory-based Targeting Increase Technology Adoption?," (August 2018) [61pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2138 Martin Shubik, "Apologia Pro Vita Sua: The Vanishing of the White Whale in the Mists," (July 2018) [7pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2137R Giovanni Compiani, Philip A. Haile, Marcelo Sant'Anna, "Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions," (June 2018, Revised June 2019) [99pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2137 Giovanni Compiani, Philip A. Haile, Marcelo Sant'Anna, "Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions," (June 2018) [80pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2136R2 James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Intertemporal Price Discrimination in Sequential Quantity-Price Games," (June 2018, Revised September 2018, , Revised March 2019) [49pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2136), (See: CFDP 2136R)
CFDP 2136R James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Oligopoly Price Discrimination: The Role of Inventory Controls," (June 2018, Revised September 2018) [37pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2136), (See: CFDP 2136R2)
CFDP 2136 James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Oligopoly Price Discrimination: The Role of Inventory Controls," (June 2018) [30pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2136R), (See: CFDP 2136R2)
CFDP 2135 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Extrapolation using Selection and Moral Hazard Heterogeneity from within the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment," (June 2018) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2134 Shinichi Hirota, Juergen Huber, Thomas Stöckl, Shyam Sunder, "Speculation and Price Indeterminacy in Financial Markets: An Experimental Study," (June 2018) [73pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2133 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Revenue Guarantee Equivalence," (May 2018) [20pp, Abstract] , (See: CFP1629)
CFDP 2132 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "First-Price Auctions with General Information Structures: A Short Introduction," (May 2018) [11pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2131 Farzad Sabzikar, Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Asymptotic Theory for Near Integrated Process Driven by Tempered Linear Process," (May 2018) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2130 William D. Nordhaus, "Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet," (April 2018) [41pp, Abstract]