Commission Seminars, 1943-1955
1943 | |
Jul. 6 | Leonid Hurwicz, "The Study of Price Determination" |
Jul. 22 | Gerhard Tintner, Iowa State College, "Verification of a Simplified Theory of Business Cycles" |
Sep. 29 | George Katona, "The Study of Price Control and Rationing" |
Nov. 3 | Research assistants of the Committee on Price Control and Rationing discussed various aspects of the study then in progress. Speakers were: Rolf A. Weil, Marvin L. Braude, and Jack Letiche |
Nov. 26 | The discussion of price control and rationing was continued. The speakers were: Sylvia M. Kafka, George Katona, and Jack Letiche. Lt. (j.g.) Martin Hilby, U.S.N. (formerly of OPA) and Professor Theodore W. Schultz also participated |
Dec. 13 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, Statistician of the Combined Shipping Adjustment Board, "Dynamic Economic Systems" |
1944 | |
Jan. 31 | Clark Warburton, Principal Economist, Division of Research and Statistics, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, "Theories of Monetary Control and the Need for a Responsible Monetary Authority" |
Feb. 1 | Abraham Wald, Associate Professor of Economics, Columbia University, "Statistical Inference" (joint session with Department of Mathematics) |
Dec. 8 | "Econometrics of Investment," discussion with Professor Jacob Viner |
1945 | |
May 25-26 | John von Neumann, Professor of Mathematics, Institute for Advanced Study, "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" |
Oct. 15 | Lawrence R. Klein, "Index Numbers and the Theory of Rational Behavior" |
Oct. 22 | Trygve Haavelmo, "Multiplier Effects of a Balanced Budget" |
Oct. 29 | Jacob Viner, Professor of Economics, University of Chicago, "Discussion of Trygve Haavelmo's Monograph, "The Probability Approach in Econometrics'" (supplement to Econometrica (1944), Vol. 12) |
Nov. 19 | Donald M. Fort, The University of Chicago, "A Modified Keynesian Theory" |
Nov. 26 | Richard Stone, Director, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge, "National Income and Social Accounting" |
Dec. 10 | W. Edwards Deming, Bureau of the Budget, Washington, D.C., "On Some Criteria of Sampling, with an Illustration in Population Sampling" |
Dec. 17 | George Katona, Division of Program Surveys, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture, "Wartime Savings and Their Effects" |
1946 | |
Jan. 8 | Leonid Hurwicz, "Analysis of the Economic Stagnation Thesis" |
Jan. 22 | Theodore W. Anderson, Jr., "Statistical Tests of Rank and Estimation of the Linear Relations between Expected Values" |
Feb. 5 | Roy B. Leipnik, "Distribution of the Serial Correlation Coefficient" |
Feb. 19 | H. Gregg Lewis, "Some Problems in the Analysis of Demand for Steel" |
Mar. 19 | Trygve Haavelmo, "Analysis of Demand for Agricultural Products" |
Apr. 2 | Leonid Hurwicz, "Theory of the Firm and of Investment" |
Apr. 17 | Lawrence R. Klein, "National Product Forecasts for the Reconversion Period" |
May 1 | Walter Bartky, Dean of the Division of Physical Sciences, "Recent Applications of Statistics in Physical Science" |
May 22 | Everett R. Hagen, Office of War Mobilization and Reconversion, "Forecasting National Product and Employment" |
June 3 | Jan Tinbergen, Professor of Statistics, Rotterdam School of Economics, "Discontinuous Functions in Economics" |
June 4 | Jan Tinbergen, Professor of Statistics, Rotterdam School of Economics, "Theory of Speculative Demand for Raw Materials" |
Oct. 9 | E. J. Working, Professor of Agricultural Economics, University of Illinois, "What Would Prices Have Been Without Controls? Can Statistical Analyses of Demand Tell Us?" |
Oct. 26 | J. R. Hicks, Professor of Economics, University of Oxford, "The Aggregation of Consumers' Surplus" |
Nov. 6 | Dorothy S. Brady, Chief, Cost of Living Division, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, "Interpretation of Consumption Data in the Derivation of Standard Budgets" |
Nov. 21 | Trygve Haavelmo, "Econometric Methods and Agricultural Policy" |
Dec. 5 | Kenneth May, "Tentative Methods of Dealing with Technological Change" |
1947 | |
Jan. 16 | Sam H. Schurr, "Economic Aspects of Atomic Energy as a Source of Power" |
Feb. 14 | Ragnar Frisch, Professor of Economics, University of Norway, Oslo, "Some Basic Formulae in Demand Analysis" |
Feb. 20 | Sewall Wright, Professor of Zoology, University of Chicago, "The Method of Path Coefficients" |
Mar. 6 | Abba P. Lerner, Professor of Economics, New School for Social Research, New York, "Wages, Inflation and Deflation" |
Apr. 1 | Harald Cramer, Professor of Mathematics, University of Stockholm, Sweden, "Stationary Stochastic Processes" |
Apr. 10 | Abba P. Lerner, Professor of Economics, New School for Social Research, New York, "Economic Planning in a Free Market" |
May 8 | Martin Bronfenbrenner, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Department of Economics, Roosevelt College, "Comparison of Full-Employment Forecasts" |
May 22 | Rensis Likert, Director, Survey Research Center, University of Michigan, "Sample Survey as a Tool for Economic Research" |
Aug. 7 | Harold Hotelling, Professor, University of North Carolina, "Statistical Problems of Welfare Economics" |
Oct. 9 | Colin Clark, Director, Bureau of Industry, and Financial Adviser to the State Treasury of Queensland, Australia, "Social Implications of Economic Growth" |
Oct. 23 | Milton Friedman, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Chicago, "Utility Analysis of Gambling and Insurance" |
Nov. 6 | Herbert A. Simon, Professor of Political Science, Illinois Institute of Technology, "Some Economic Effects of Technological Progress" |
Nov. 20 | Dr. George Rasch, State Serum Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark, "Statistical Analysis of Growth Curves" |
1948 | |
Jan. 29 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Welfare Economics of Transportation and Location" (in collaboration with the Program of Education and Research in Planning) |
Feb. 12 | Anatol Rapoport, Research Associate in Mathematical Biology, and Alphonso Shimbel, Research Associate in Mathematical Biology, "Suggestions for Measuring the Satisfaction Functions of Animals" |
Feb. 24 | Ewan Clague, U.S. Commissioner of Labor Statistics, "Productivity, Wages, and the American Standard of Living" (jointly with the Chicago Chapter of the American Statistical Association) |
Feb. 26 | Frederick Mosteller, Associate Professor of Social Relations, Harvard University, "Graphical Analysis of Data Obtained by Counting" |
Mar. 18 | Gerhard Tintner, Professor of Economics, Iowa State College, "Foundations of Probability and Statistical Inference" (jointly with the Statistical Techniques Group, Chicago Chapter, American Statistical Association) |
Apr. 15 | Melvin G. De Chazeau, Professor of Business Economics and Marketing, University of Chicago, "Interviewing of Businessmen" |
Apr. 29 | Karl Menger, Professor of Mathematics, Illinois Institute of Technology, "A Geometric Theory of Index Numbers" |
May 13 | H. Gregg Lewis, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Chicago, "Observations on Duopoly" |
May 27 | L. H. C. Tippett, Statistician to the British Cotton Industry Research Association and Visiting Lecturer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "Investigations of Industrial Efficiency" |
Jun. 10 | Jacob Marschak, "Money Illusion, Price Level, and Employment" |
Oct. 21 | Lloyd A. Metzler, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Chicago, "Tariffs, the Terms of Trade and the Distribution of National Income" |
Nov. 4 | William E. Henry, Assistant Professor in the Committee on Human Development, University of Chicago, "Personality and the Performance of Executives" |
Nov. 18 | Fetter J. Bjerve, Chief of Economic Planning Division, Norwegian Ministry of Trade, "Government Economic Planning in Norway" (jointly with the Program of Education and Research in Planning) |
Dec. 9 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "The Econometric Approach to Business Fluctuations" |
1949 | |
Jan. 9 | L. J. Savage, Research Associate in Mathematics, University of Chicago, "The Theory of Games: Zero-Sum Games" |
Jan. 20 | Kenneth J. Arrow, "The Theory of Games: Multi-Person Games" |
Feb. 17 | Kenneth J. Arrow, "The Theory of Games: Applications to Economics" |
Mar. 3 | Jacob Marschak, "The Theory of Games: Measurable Utility" |
Mar. 10 | M. A. Girshick, Professor of Statistics, Stanford University, "The Theory of Games: Continuous Games" |
Mar. 31 | L. J. Savage, "The Theory of Games: Application to Statistical Inference" |
Apr. 14 | Herbert A. Simon, "The Theory of Games: Application to Politics and Administration" |
May 12 | Herman Rubin, "Statistical Treatment of Nonlinear Econometric Models" |
May 26 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Utility Analysis of Decisions Involving Future Periods" |
Oct. 6 | Tibor Scitovsky, Department of Economics, Stanford University, "The Meaning of National Product Estimates" |
Oct. 20 | Anatol Rapoport, Committee on Mathematical Biology, University of Chicago, "Outline of a Mathematical Approach to Animal Sociology" |
Nov. 3 | Nicolas Rashevsky, Committee on Mathematical Biology, University of Chicago, "Suggestions for a Mathematical Biology of Imitative Behavior"` |
Nov. 17 | Carl Christ, "Econometric Models and Predictions for the United States" |
Dec. 8 | Leonid Hurwicz, "Estimation Bias Due to Incorrect Choice of Model" (jointly with the Statistics Club, University of Chicago) |
Dec. 15 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Efficient Allocation of Resources" |
1950 | |
Jan. 5 | Charles J. Hitch, The RAND Corporation, "Planning Defense Production" |
Jan. 12 | A. W. Tucker, Department of Mathematics, Princeton University, "Feasibility, Existence, and Duality Theorems of Linear Programming" |
Feb. 2 | Chauncy D. Harris, Department of Geography, University of Chicago, "Theory of Location and Soviet Planning" |
Feb. 9 | Erich Schneider, Department of Economics, University of Kiel, Germany, "The Problem of Replacement of Industrial Equipment" |
Mar. 2 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Identification of Structure in Factor Analysis and in Econometrics" (jointly with the Statistics Club, University of Chicago) |
Mar. 16 | Robert H. Strotz, Department of Economics, Northwestern University, and N. Frank Morehouse, Aerial Measurements Laboratory, Northwestern University, "The Application of the Electro-Analog Computer to Problems in Economic Dynamics" |
Mar. 30 | Julius Margolis, Program of Education and Research in Planning, University of Chicago, "National Economic Accounting and Economic Policy" |
Apr. 13 | Gerhard Tintner, Department of Economics, Iowa State College, "External Economies in Consumption" |
Apr. 27 | Earl J. Hamilton, Department of Economics, University of Chicago, "Four Centuries of Spanish Prices" |
May 11 | Franco Modigliani, "Empirical Studies of Expectations and Investment Decisions" |
May 18 | Lawrence R. Klein, Survey Research Center, University of Michigan, and National Bureau of Economic Research, "Sample Surveys and Household Behavior" |
May 25 | A. J. Brown, Department of Economics, University of Leeds, England, "Some Recent Examples of the Price-Wage Spiral" |
Jun. 15 | Eric Lundberg, Institute of Conjuncture, Stockholm, Sweden, "Wage Policy and Full Employment — With Special Reference to Swedish Experience" |
Oct. 12 | John F. Nash, Princeton University, "The Extended Bargaining Problem" |
Oct. 26 | Rudolph Carnap, Department of Philosophy, University of Chicago, "A New Theory of Probability: Degree of Confirmation and Inductive Inference" |
Nov. 9 | Leonard J. Savage, Committee on Statistics, University of Chicago, "De Finetti's Theory of Subjective Probability with Reference to the Statistical Decision Problem" |
Nov. 16 | Lloyd A. Metzler, Department of Economics, University of Chicago, "The Pigou Effect and the Rate of Interest" |
Nov. 30 | Jacob Marschak, "Recent Discussions on Utility and Probability, and the Late Frank Ramsey" |
Dec. 21 | Kenneth J. Arrow, "Alternative Approaches to the Theory of Choice in Risk-Taking Situations" |
1951 | |
Jan. 11 | Harold T. Davis, "Some Implications of the Curve of Income Distribution" |
Jan. 25 | Herman Chernoff, Department of Mathematics, University of Illinois, "Rational Selection of Decision Functions" |
Feb. 1 | D. Van Dantzig, Department of Mathematics, University of Amsterdam, "On the Linking up of Probability Theory to Empirical Sciences" |
Feb. 15 | Louis L. Thurstone, Department of Psychology, University of Chicago, "Consumer Preferences and the Prediction of Choices" |
Mar. 1 | Leonid Hurwicz, "The Mathematics of Welfare Economics: An Introduction" |
Mar. 15 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Generalizations of Leontief's Input-Output Model" |
Mar. 29 | Leonid Hurwicz, "Optimization Rules in a Decentralized Economy" |
Apr. 12 | Morton L. Slater, "Optimization under Constraints: A Central Economic Problem and the Mathematical Tools for Its Solution" |
Apr. 26 | Louis Guttman, Israel Institute of Applied Social Research, "Qualitative Data and the Theory of Scaling" (jointly with Committee on Statistics, University of Chicago) |
May 3 | Gerard Debreu, "The Efficiency of an Economic System" |
May 10 | Clifford Hildreth, "Derivation of Social Welfare Functions from Individual Utility Functions" |
May 24 | John Chipman, University of Chicago, "Oscillations in a Multi-Sector Economy" |
Jun. 12 | M. G. Kendall, London School of Economics, "Testing Significance in Cases Where There Is Autocorrelation in Residuals of a Time Series" |
Oct. 18 | Melville J. Herskovits, Northwestern University, "Rational Behavior and Cultural Relativism" |
Nov. 1 | Howard Raiffa, University of Michigan, "Arbitration Schemes for Generalized Two-Person Games," presented at the Cowles Commission Conference on the Problem of Decision-Making |
Nov. 15 | Herbert A. Simon, "Some Mathematical Models in Social Sciences" |
Nov. 19 | Karl Menger, Illinois Institute of Technology, "Probabilistic Theory of Relations" |
Dec. 13 | Robert H. Strotz, "Problems in the Pure Theory of Income Redistribution" |
1952 | |
Jan. 10 | Milton Friedman, University of Chicago, "Price, Income, and Monetary Changes in Three Wartime Periods" |
Jan. 14 | Karl Faxen, University of Stockholm, "Games with Nonmeasurable Utilities" |
Feb. 7 | Lawrence R. Klein, "Evaluation of Consumers' Expenditures Survey Data" |
Feb. 11 | Herbert D. Landahl, University of Chicago, "A Neurobiophysical Interpretation of Certain Aspects of the Problem of Risks" |
Mar. 6 | H. S. Houthakker, 'The Free Demand for Rationed Foodstuffs in Britain" |
Mar. 17 | Clyde H. Coombs, University of Michigan, "Measurement of Individual and Social Utility" |
Apr. 10 | Herbert A. Simon, "The Logic of Causality," presented at the Conference on Business Decision-Making sponsored jointly with Carnegie Institute of Technology and the University of Illinois |
Apr. 14 | Robert M. Thrall, University of Michigan, "A General Theory of Measurement and the Michigan Interdisciplinary Training Program" |
May 8 | James G. Miller, University of Chicago, "The Executive of the Personality and Decision-Making" |
May 11 | Franco Modigliani, "Some Empirical Results of an Analysis of Expectations and Plans of Firms" |
Oct. 9 | Abba P. Lerner, Roosevelt College, "Social Welfare Functions" |
Oct. 23 | Leo Tornqvist, "Some Remarks about the Decision Concept" |
Nov. 6 | Colin Clark, University of Oxford, "A New Theory of Industrial Location" |
Nov. 20 | Milton Friedman, University of Chicago, "The Effect of Individual Choice on the Income Distribution" |
Dec. 4 | Jacob Marschak, "Some Building Stones for a Theory of Organizations" |
Dec. 18 | Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Activity Analysis and Its Applications" |
1953 | |
Jan. 15 | H. S. Houthakker, "Theory of Futures Markets" |
Jan. 29 | O. H. Brownlee, University of Minnesota, "The Effects of Taxation on the Price Level in The Short Run" |
Feb. 12 | Martin Beckmann, "Some Implications of Activity Analysis for Price Theory" |
Feb. 26 | T. A. Hieronymus, University of Illinois, "An Empirical Study of Price Expectations and Marketing Decisions" |
Mar. 12 | Lawrence R. Klein, "Some Preliminary Estimates of a New Econometric Model for the United States" |
Apr. 9 | Clifford Hildreth, "Relations Affecting Livestock Production and Price" |
Apr. 23 | Anatol Rapoport, University of Chicago, "Theory of Communication Nets" |
May 7 | Robert l. Gustafson, University of Chicago, "Optimum Storage Rules for Grains" |
May 21 | J. R. N. Stone, University of Cambridge, "A Cambridge View on Economic Research" |
Oct. 8 | Arnold C. Harberger, "Estimating Economic Parameters" |
Oct. 22 | D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago, "Regional and Occupational Differences in Income in the United States" |
Nov. 5 | Robert H. Strotz, Northwestern University, "The Optimal Rate of Plant Expansion" |
Nov. 19 | Roy Radner, "The Firm as a Team" |
Dec. 3 | Andrew Vazsonyi, Hughes Aircraft Company, "The Use of Mathematics in Production and Inventory Control" |
1954 | |
Jan. 28 | Sigbert J. Prais, "Equivalent Adults, Economies of Scale, and Standard of Living" |
Feb. 11 | Lloyd A. Metzler, University of Chicago, "A Second Look at the Transfer Problem" |
Feb. 25 | George Katona, University of Michigan, "On the Prediction Value of Economic Attitudes" |
Mar. 11 | G. W. Platzman, University of Chicago, "The Use of High-Speed Computers in Meteorology" |
Apr. 8 | Arnold Tustin, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "Problems of System Analysis in Engineering and Economics" |
Apr. 22 | Thomas E. Caywood, Caywood–Schiller Associates, "A Problem in Applied Game Theory" |
May 11 | Robert R. Bush, Harvard University, "The Analysis of Latency Data" |
May 13 | Franco Modigliani, Carnegie Institute of Technology, "The Consumption Function" |
May 27 | Alfred Kraessel, University of Chicago, "Some Economic Aspects of Latin America" |
Jun. 10 | Richard L. Meier, University of Chicago, "On Creativity" |
Oct. 7 | Sidney Alexander, Columbia Broadcasting System, “The Ethics of Competition a Generation Later” |
Oct. 19 | Gerhard Titner, Iowa State College, “Linear Programming under Uncertainty” |
Oct. 21 | Gerard Debreu, Cowles Commission, “An Economic Theory of Uncertainty” |
Nov. 4 | Robert Solow, MIT, “The Economics of Economic Growth” |
Nov. 18 | Stefan Valavanis-Vail, University of Michigan, “An Econometric Model of Growth in the United States” |
Dec. 7 | Margaret G. Reid, University of Chicago, “Income Elasticity of Consumption: An Analysis of Family Data” |
1955 | |
Jan. 13 | Gary S. Becker, University of Chicago, “The Economics of Racial Discrimination” |
Jan. 19 | Martin Bronfenbrenner, University of Wisconsin, “Confiscation and Economic Development” |
Feb. 3 | J. K. Galbraith, Harvard University, “Countervailing Power” |
Feb. 10 | Earl R. Swanson, University of Illinois, “Application of Linear Programming in Agricultural Production Research” |
Feb. 17 | Jacob Marschak, Cowles Commission, “A Several-Persons Firm” |
Mar. 3 | John A. Nordin, Iowa State College, “Resource Allocation Affecting Demand Analysis” |
Apr. 7 | Arthur F. Burns, Council of Economic Advisers, “Economic Targets under the Employment Act” |