Foundation Seminars, 1955-2004

Oct. 4 Harry Markowitz, The RAND Corporation, “Portfolio Selection”
Nov. 1 James Duesenberry, Harvard University, “Investment and the Theory of the Firm”
Nov. 29 David Gale, Brown University, “The Closed Linear Model of Production”
Dec. 15 Theodore W. Anderson, Columbia University, “Statistical Inference in Factor Analysis”
Jan. 10 Robert Solow, MIT, “An Index Number Problem in the Pure Theory of Production”
Feb. 7 George Katona, University of Michigan, “Stability or Instability of Economic Attitudes”
Feb. 17 Henry Allan Latané, University of North Carolina, “Asset Preferences”
Feb. 21 Guy H. Orcutt, Harvard University, “Testing of Hypotheses Regarding Economic Relationships”
Feb. 28 Stanley Sigel, Federal Reserve Board, “The Flow of Funds Study”
Mar. 13 Lionel W. McKenzie, Duke University “Optimal Taxation”
Mar. 14 James Morgan, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, “Some Data on Consumer Investment Expenditures”
Mar. 16 Murray Gerstenhaber, University of Pennsylvania, “Hitchcock-Koopmans Transportation Problem”
Mar. 20 Henri Theil, University of Chicago, “Relations among Expected, Planned, and Actual Price Data”
Oct. 16 William J. Vickery, Columbia University, “The Optimum Trend of the General Price Level”
Oct. 30 Robert Dorfman, Harvard University, “A Model of Alternative Means for Meeting Fluctuating Demands?
Nov. 20 Herman Wold, Institute of Statistics, University of Uppsala, “Demand Analysis: A Survey of Problems and Methods”
Jan. 8 Paul A. Samuelson, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “An Economic ‘Brownian Movement’ ”
Feb. 5 Duncan Luce, Columbia University, “Utility and Subjective Probability”
Mar. 12 Maurice McManus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “The Existence of a Competitive Equilibrium in a Money Economy”
Apr. 2 Frank Hahn, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Money Dynamic Stability and Growth”
Apr. 16 John Meyer, Harvard University, “Econometric Studies of Investment Decisions”
Oct. 8 Pierre Massé, Electricité de France, “Investment Problems at Electricité de France”
Oct. 18 Franco Modigliani, Carnegie Institute of Technology, “The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment”
Nov. 22 Horst Mendershausen, The RAND Corporation, “Economic Problems in Air Force Logistics”
Dec. 3 G.L.S. Shackle, Columbia University, “Expectation: Some Difficulties”
Dec. 10 H.S. Houthakker, Stanford University, “Theory of Normal Backwardation”
Jan. 28 Jacques Drèze, Carnegie Institute of Technology, “Decision Making under Uncertainty and the Identification Problem”
Feb. 13 Sidney S. Alexander, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Rates of Change as Forecasters”
Mar. 4 Trygve Haavelmo, University of Oslo, “On the Formal Theory of Investment Behavior”
Mar. 14 Franklin M. Fisher, Society of Fellows, Harvard University, “The Demand for Aluminum Ingot in the United States in the Interwar Period” Also some remarks on “A Theory on A Priori Restrictions and Identification”
Oct. 10 Robert Eisner, Northwestern University, “Capital Expenditures and Expectations”
Oct. 14 Ragnar Bentzel, University of Uppsala, “An Investigation of the Swedish Consumption Patterns”
Nov. 7 Erich Schneider, University of Kiel, “On the Influence of Changing Exchange Rates on the Balance of Payments”
Dec. 12 Lawrence R. Klein, University of Pennsylvania, “An Econometric Model of the United Kingdom — Postwar Quarters”
Jan. 9 Daniel Ellsberg, Harvard University, “The Theory and Practice of Blackmail”
Jan. 23 Gerald Thompson, Ohio Wesleyan University, “A Further Generalization of the von Neumann Dynamic Model”
Feb. 13 Robert Strotz, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, (on leave from Northwestern University) “Price Expectations, Optimality, and Equilibrium”
Mar. 13 H.S. Houthakker, Stanford and Harvard Universities, “International Comparisons of Consumers’ Preferences”
Mar. 26 Marcel Boiteux, Electricite de France, “La Tarification Marginaliste de 1’Electricite de France”
Apr. 10 Carl Kaysen, Harvard University, “Some New Data on Plants and Firms”
Apr. 17 Alain Enthoven, RAND Corporation, “The Neoclassical Theory of Money and Economic Growth”
Apr. 24 Manfred Kochen, IBM Research Center, “Some Problems in Organizational Structure”
May 25 Maurice Allais, Institute of Statistics, University of Paris, “Influence of the Capital-Output Ratio on Real National Income”
Oct. 30 Michael Farrell, University of Cambridge and Carnegie Institute of Technology, “Some Remarks on the British Capital Market”
Nov. 13 James Durbin, London School of Economics, “Estimation of Parameters in Time Series Regression Models”
Dec. 4 Robert Solow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Estimation of Distributed Lags”
Dec. 11 Benoit Mandelbrot, IBM Research Center, “A New Family of Stochastic Models of Income Distribution: The Pareto–Levy Random Variables and Processes”
Jan. 8 Richard R. Nelson, RAND Corporation, “Uncertainty, Learning, and Research and Development Decision-Making”
Jan. 22 John Lintner, Harvard University, “Research on Earnings, Dividends, and Stock Prices”
Feb. 12 Zvi Griliches, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., “Is Aggregation Necessarily Bad?”
Apr. 8 Francis M. Bator, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “On ‘Balanced’ Growth”
Apr. 15 William C. Hood, University of Toronto, “Problems in the Regulation of Privately Owned Public Utilities”
Apr. 29 John Denis Sargan, Leeds University and University of Chicago, “Towards a More Realistic Theory of Stability”
May 13 Henri Theil, Director of the Econometric Institute, Netherlands School of Economics, and Harvard University, “The Design of Socially Optimal Decisions”
Oct. 19 Guy H. Orcutt, University of Wisconsin, “Simulation of Social Systems”
Dec. 16 Robert Summers, University of Pennsylvania, “An Econometric Look at Military Cost Estimates”
Jan. 13 Edward B. Berman, Operations Evaluation Group, Navy Department, “The Normative Interest Rate”
Mar. 10 George J. Feeney, General Electric Company, “Oligopolistic Behavior in a Markovian Market”
Mar. 17 Richard Rosett, University of Rochester, “Models of the Stock Options Market”
Mar. 24 Martin J. Beckmann, Brown University, “Wicksell’s Cumulative Process and Some Models of Economic Growth”
Apr. 14 Hendrik S. Houthakker, Harvard University, “Short-term Price Movements as a Stochastic Process”
Apr. 21 Wassily Leontief, Harvard University, “Welfare Analysis as Applied to Public Enterprise”
Apr. 28 Edwin Mansfield, Carnegie Institute of Technology, “Acceptance of Technological Change”
Oct. 2 Herbert Scarf, Stanford University, “Game Theory and Economic Equilibrium”
Oct. 30 Karl Borch, The Norwegian School of Economics and Business Ad-ministration, “Uncertainty and Market Equilibrium”
Nov. 13 Stephen A. Marglin, Harvard University, “The Social Rate of Discount and the Opportunity Costs of Public Investment”
Nov. 30 Juerg M. Niehans, Johns Hopkins University and the University of Zurich, “Interest Rates in an Open Economy: The Swiss Case”
Feb. 15 Harold W. Kuhn, Princeton University, “Remarks on the Turn-pike Theorem”
Feb. 26 Dale Jorgenson, University of California, “Capital Theory and Investment Behavior”
Mar. 12 Albert Ando, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “An Empirical Model of the U.S. Economic Growth: An Exploratory Study in Applied Capital Theory”
Apr. 9 Franklin Fisher, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Decomposability, Near-Decomposability, and Balanced Growth under Constant Returns to Scale”
Apr. 30 John F. Muth, Carnegie Institute of Technology, “Stochastic Equilibrium and Dynamic Stability”
May 10 Hirofumi Uzawa, Stanford University, “Topics Related to the Problem of Economic Growth”
Nov. 2 Robert Dorfman, Harvard University, “Economic Interpretation of Nonlinear Programming and an Application”
Nov. 30 Kelvin Lancaster, Johns Hopkins University, “The Analysis of the Economy as a System”
Feb. 8 Robert P. Abelson, Yale University, “A Psychologist Looks at Subjective Probability and Utility”
Feb. 28 A.W. Phillips, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the London School of Economics, “Objectives of Economic Policy”
Apr. 5 Edward F. Denison, The Brookings Institution, “Sources of Economic Growth”
Apr. 19 Marshall Kolin, Harvard University, “Tests of Alternative Specifications of the Budget Constraint in Models of the Economic Behavior of the House-hold Sector”
May 10 Louis Lefeber, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “A Dynamic Model of Regional and National Economic Development”
Nov. 21 Philip Wolfe, The RAND Corporation, “On the Theory of Quadratic Programming” (Joint Seminar, with Department of Statistics and Department of Industrial Administration)
Dec. 20 Jacques Dreze, University of Chicago and the University of Louvain, “Bayesian Estimation of Simultaneous Equations” (Joint Seminar, with Department of Statistics)
Jan. 7 Andrew Whinston, Yale University, “Research in Quadratic Programming” (Joint Seminar, with Department of Industrial Administration)
Jan. 17 Edwin Mansfield, University of Pennsylvania and Harvard University, “Returns from Industrial Research, Rates of Technical Change, and the Effects of Concentration on Technology Levels”
Jan. 24 Jan Sandee, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the Central Planning Bureau of The Netherlands, “A Long-term Planning Model for The Netherlands”
Feb. 4 Harold W. Watts, Yale University, “Experimental Gaming” (Joint Seminar, with Department of Industrial Administration)
Mar. 26 Richard Lipsey, University of California, “Inflation and Economic Growth: The Post-War Experience in Britain”
Apr. 7 Franklin M. Fisher, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “On the Supply Curve of Petroleum Discoveries”
Apr. 17 James S. Duesenberry, Harvard University, “The SSRC Econometric Model”
May 1 Clopper Almon, Harvard University, “A Convergent Method of Predicting Investment Requirements and its Application of Forecasting the American Economy in 1970”
May 29 Martin McGuire, Harvard University, “Economic Models of Arms Races and the Role of Information”
Oct. 30 Pieter De Wolff, Central Planning Bureau, The Hague, and Harvard University, “An Optimal Price Policy for Natural Gas Deposits”
Nov. 30 J.R.N. Stone, Cambridge, England, “A Model of the UK Educational System and its Contribution to Economic Growth”
Dec. 11 David Gale, Brown University, “Optimal Operation of a Multi-sector Economy”
Dec. 17 Peter A. Diamond, University of California, Berkeley, “National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model”
Jan. 5 Marc Nerlove, Stanford University, “Applications of Spectral Techniques in Economics”
Jan. 22 Allan H. Meltzer, University of Chicago and Carnegie Institute of Technology, “The Interaction of Money, Credit and Interest Rates on the Bank-Oriented Credit Market”
Feb. 12 Irving Lavalle, Harvard Business School, “A Bayesian Approach to Game Problems”
Apr. 13 Lawrence R. Klein, University of Pennsylvania, “Non-Linear Stochastic Models”
May 7 Hirofumi Uzawa, University of Chicago, “A Monetary Model of Economic Growth”
Jun. 3 Lawrence Fisher, University of Chicago, “Two New Sets of Common Stock Indexes”
Nov. 19 Hendrik S. Houthakker, Harvard University, “The Dynamics of Consumption and Savings”
Jan. 7 James Durbin, Johns Hopkins University and London School of Economics, “A New Look at the Problem of Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression”
Jan. 28 Frank Brechling, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Short-Run Production Functions: An International Comparison”
Feb. 11 Ralph Gomory, IBM Watson Research Center, “On the Relation between Integer and Non-Integer Solutions to Linear Programs”
Apr. 13 George Dantzig, University of California at Berkeley, “Complementary Theory in Mathematical Programming”
Apr. 29 Harold W. Watts, Office of Economic Opportunity and University of Wisconsin, “The Iso-Prop Index: An Approach to the Determination of Poverty Income Differentials”
May 10 Shinichi Ichimura, University of California at Berkeley and Osaka University, “An Econometric Model of the Monetary Sector of Postwar Japan”
May 27 Guy Orcutt, Harvard University and University of Wisconsin, “The Effects of Aggregation on Estimation”
Dec. 9 Leonid Hurwicz, University of Minnesota, “On Problems of Economic Organization”
Feb. 17 Alan A. Walters, University of Birmingham and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “A Simple Model of an Uncongested Road”
Mar. 3 Zvi Griliches, University of Chicago, “Sources of Measured Productivity Growth — The Current State of Research on the Residual”
Mar. 17 Carlton E. Lemke, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, “Mathematical Programming and Bi-Matrix Games”
Apr. 7 Richard N. Rosett, University of Rochester, “The Experimental Measurement of Subjective Probability and its Relation to Relative Frequency”
Apr. 14 Karl Burch, Nuffield College, Oxford, and The Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration, Bergen, “The Theory of Risk”
May 5 Michael C. Lovell, Carnegie Institute of Technology, “Firm Sales, Anticipations, Planned Inventory Behavior, and the Production Decision”
May 8 Edmond C. Malinvaud, University of California, Berkeley, and Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l’Administration Economique, Paris, “The Theory of Non-Linear Regression”
May 26 W.M. Gorman, Stanford University and Oxford, “On the Structure of Separable Functions”
Nov. 10 Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Optimal Taxation and Public Investment”
Nov. 30 Roy Radner, University of California, Berkeley, The Role of Prices as Information Signals in the Allocation of Resources under Uncertainty”
Jan. 2 H. Nikaido, Osaka University, “Income Distribution and Growth in a Monopolist Economy”
Mar. 27 T.N. Srinivasan, Indian Statistical Institute and Visiting Professor of Economics at Stanford University, “Optimal Savings under Uncertainty”
Apr. 5 Vernon L. Smith, Brown University, “Economics of Production from Natural Resources”
Apr. 30 Janos Kornai, Computing Center of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, “Mathematical Planning and Economic Reform in Hungary”
May 3 Amartya Sen, Yale University and University of Delhi, “Interpersonal Aggregation and Social Choice”
May 15 Jacques Dreze, University of Chicago and University Catholique de Louvain, “Two Certainty Equivalents Theorems for Savings under Uncertainty”
May 24 Merton Miller, University of Chicago, “Portfolio Theory and the Structure of Interest Rates”
May 31 Benedikt Korda, Higher School of Economics, Prague, “Recent Economic Events in Czechoslovakia”
Jun. 14 James Mirrlees, Cambridge University and Visiting Professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Some Theory of Optimum Income Taxation”
Oct. 24 Harold Watts, University of Wisconsin, “The Negative Income Tax Experiment in New Jersey”
Dec. 6 Christopher A. Sims, Harvard University, “Some Pitfalls of Approximate Specification in Distributed Lag Estimation”
Dec. 13 Edmund Phelps, University of Pennsylvania, “Non-Walrasian Aspects of Employment and Inflation Theory”
Jan. 24 Edward J. Hannan, Australian National University, “Mixed Moving Average Auto-regressive Processes”
Feb. 14 Kenneth J. Arrow, Harvard University, “Existence of Temporary Equilibrium”
Mar. 19 Mrs. Joan Robinson, University of Cambridge, England, “Unresolved Questions in Capital Theory,” (jointly with Economic Growth Center)
Apr. 18 Michael Farrell, Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge, England, “Natural Selection in Economics”
Apr. 22 Lawrence Klein, University of Pennsylvania, “The Theory of Economic Prediction”
Apr. 25 Donald Tucker, The Urban Institute, “Money Demand and Market Disequilibrium”
May 16 Assar Lindbeck, University of Stockholm and Columbia University, “Stabilization Policy in ‘Narrow Band’ Economies”
Jan. 16 Robert E. Hall, University of California, Berkeley, “Inflationary Bias in Labor Markets”
Mar. 6 Duncan Foley, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Economic Equilibrium with Marketing Costs”
Mar. 11 Alan S. Manne, Stanford University, “A Dynamic Multi-Sector Model for Mexico, 1968–80”
Apr. 10 James Buchanan, Virginia Polytechnic Institute, “Notes on the Theory of Supply”
Apr. 17 Zvi Griliches, Harvard University, “Estimating Production Functions from Micro-Data”
Apr. 24 John W. Kendrick, The George Washington University, “Postwar Productivity Trends and Relationships”
May 8 Arnold Zellner, University of Chicago, “Bayesian Inference in the Analysis of Log-Normal Distributions and Regressions”
Oct. 23 Daniel McFadden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Revealed Stochastic Technology”
Nov. 6 Eytan Sheshinski, Harvard University, “Optimal Government Production and Inflation”
Nov. 13 Terrence Gorman, University of North Carolina and London School of Economics, “Aggregates for Variable Goods: An Application of Duality”
Dec. 4 Hugo Sonnenschein, University of Massachusetts, “Three Problems in General Equilibrium and Welfare Economics”
Feb. 5 Robert Solow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Land Use in a Long Narrow City”
Feb. 26 Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Carnegie–Mellon University, “Cross Section Tests of the Natural Rate Hypothesis”
Mar. 5 Michael Bruno, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Disequilibrium Growth in an Open Economy”
Apr. 2 Richard D. Portes, Princeton University, “A Quantity-Guided Decentralized Planning Procedure”
Apr. 16 Christopher Sims, National Bureau of Economic Research, “Money, Income and Causality”
Apr. 23 Witold Tzeciakowski, Warsaw, Poland, “The Application of Short-Run Optimization Models in Foreign Trade Planning and Management in Poland”
May 14 Richard Rosett, University of Rochester, “The Effect of Health Insurance on the Demand for Medical Care”
Sep. 30 John Williamson, Warwick University, “Estimates of the Impact of the EEC on Trade”
Oct. 8 Terje Hansen and Tjalling C. Koopmans, Yale University, “Definition and Computation of a Capital Stock Invariant under Optimization”
Oct. 23 Jacques Drèze, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics, Louvain, “Investment Decisions under Uncertainty: Welfare Theory and Algorithms”
Oct. 27 Stephen Goldfield, Princeton University, “Econometric Model Selection in the Presence of Repeated Structural Change”
Nov. 12 Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Aggregate Production with Consumption Externalities”
Dec. 10 Koichi Hamada, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Social Choice on Income Distribution”
Jan. 14 Martin Geisal, Carnegie–Mellon University, “Bayesian Model Comparisons”
Feb. 18 Marc Roberts, Harvard University, “Alternative Social Criteria: A Normative Approach”
Mar. 3 Herbert A. Simon, Carnegie–Mellon University, “Process Models That Predict the Size of Business Firms”
Mar. 10 Sidney Winter, University of Michigan, “Simulation of Technical Change in an Evolutionary Model”
Mar. 17 Wladyslaw Welfe, University of Pennsylvania, “Medium-Term Econometric Models of Poland, Czechoslovakia and Hungary: Goals, Specification and Empirical Results”
Apr. 14 Albert Madansky, City College of New York, “Improved Instrumental Variable Estimators”
Apr. 21 Arthur Goldberg, University of Wisconsin, “Unobservable Variables”
Apr. 28 Andras Nagy, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, “Projections of Foreign Trade in the Socialist Countries and the Problem of International Consistency”
May 12 Mordecai Kurz, Stanford University, “Equilibrium with Transaction Cost and Money”
May 19 David Cass, Carnegie–Mellon University, “Interpreting the Lagrange Multipliers in Quasi-Concave Programming and Conditions for ‘Concavifiability’ ”
Oct. 27 Janos Kornai, Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, “Intertemporal Aspects of Hungarian Long-Term Planning”
Nov. 3 Nicholas Stern, St. Catherine’s College, Oxford, and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Optimal Savings with Economies of Scale”
Nov. 10 Avinash Dixit, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Oxford, “The Optimal Factory Town”
Nov. 17 Alan Manne, Stanford University, “Electricity Investments Under Uncertainty About the Date of Breeder Availability”
Dec. 8 Hugo Sonnenschein, University of Massachusetts, “An Axiomatic Characterization of the Competitive Mechanism”
Dec. 15 Truman F. Bewley, Harvard University, “Preliminary Work on a Dynamic Central Market Model”
Jan. 5 Michael Spence, Harvard University, “Market Signaling”
Feb. 2 George Brown, Center of Naval Operations, “Some Problems Involving Disturbance-Variance Systems”
Feb. 23 Alexander Schmidt, Computing Center of the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences, “Applications of Control Theory to Economic Planning”
Mar. 2 H E. Goeller, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, “A Long-Term View of Material Resources Availability and Utilization” (Joint seminar with Institute for Social and Policy Studies)
Mar. 16 Martin Weitzman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Prices vs. Quantities as Planning Instruments”
Apr. 6 Jerzy Los, Computer Center of the Polish Academy of Sciences, “Recent Polish Work in the Field of von Neumann Models”
Apr. 9 Nikita Moiseev, Computer Center of the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences, “Some Problems of Centralized Planning”
Apr. 13 Peter A. Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Single Activity Accidents”
May 4 T. N. Srinivasan, Indian Statistical Institute. “A Re-Analysis of the Harris–Todaro Model,” jointly with Economic Growth Center
May 11 David Hoaglin, Harvard University, “Exploring Some Unemployment Data”
Oct. 12 Tjalling C. Koopmans and William D. Nordhaus, Cowles Foundation, “Models of Optimal Utilization of Natural Resources” (CFDP 356)
Oct. 17 Axel Leijonhufvud, UCLA, “Informal Talk on Macroeconomics”
Oct. 19 Tony Atkinson, Essex University, England, “The Distribution of Wealth”
Nov. 2 Gary Chamberlain, Harvard University, “Returns to Schooling and Ability as an Unobserved Component”
Nov. 9 Arthur M. Okun, The Brookings Institution, “Perspectives on the 1973 Inflation”
Dec. 14 E. J. Hannan, Yale University and the Australian National University, “On Measuring Leads and Lags”
Dec. 21 Tjalling C. Koopmans, “IS Mathematical Economics with It?”
Jan. 17 Ray Fair, Princeton University, “General Disequilibrium Model of Macroeconomic Activity”
Feb. 15 Martin Shubik, Cowles Foundation, “A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions” (References CFDPs 330, 355, 365, 367)
Feb. 22 Anne Kreuger, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society”
Mar. 1 Jerry Green, Harvard University, “Insurance and the Economics of Liability Law”
Mar. 8 Lloyd S. Shapley, RAND Corporation, “Noncooperative Models of General Equilibrium”
Mar. 15 Martin Shubik, Cowles Foundation, “A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions” continued
Apr. 5 J D. Sargan, London School of Economics and Yale University, “Data Mining and Model Specification”
Apr. 12 Arnold Harberger, Princeton University, “Distributional Weights in Cost Benefit Analysis”
May 6 George Stigler, University of Chicago, “The Theory of Enforcement”
May 10 William J. Fellner, Council of Economic Advisers, “On Current Economic Policy”
May 24 John Williamson, International Monetary Fund, “The Impact of Increased Exchange Rate Flexibility on International Liquidity”
May 31 Richard Nelson, Yale University, “Factor Price Changes and Factor Substitution in an Evolutionary Model of Economic Growth”
Jun. 7 S. Decanio, W. Parker, and C. Vann Woodward, Round-table on Fogel and Engerman, Time on the Cross
Jun. 21 Jerome Stein, Brown University, “Inside the Monetarist’s Black Box”
Sep. 19 Bruno S. Frey, Universitat Konstanz, “Modeling Politico-Economic Interdependence”
Oct. 3 Ray Fair, Cowles Foundation, “On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections”
Nov. 7 Barry Saltzman, Yale University, “The Theory and Practice of Modelling the Climate”
Nov. 14 William D. Nordhaus, Yale University, “Can We Control Carbon Dioxide’?”
Nov. 21 William J. Baumol, Princeton University and New York University, “The Weak Invisible Hand and the Multi-Product Monopoly”
Dec. 3 David Hendry, Tjalling C. Koopmans, and Guy Orcutt, Yale University, “Is There a Use for Theory in Econometric Modelling?”
Dec. 11 M.W. Hirsh, University of California and Harvard University, “A Global Newton Method for Solving General Systems of Equations”
Jan. 9 Jean Waelbroeck, University of Brussels, CORE, and World Bank, Washington, “The Price of Energy and Potential Growth”
Feb. 13 Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Reforming Social Security”
Mar. 26 Rudiger Dornbusch, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Exchange Rates in the Short Run”
Apr. 2 Robin Marris, University of Maryland, “The Public Goods Paradigm”
Apr. 23 Robert Merton, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “The Pricing of Contingent Claims and Its Relationship to Option Pricing”
May 14 Karl Shell, University of Pennsylvania, “The Hamiltonian Approach to Economics Dynamics”
May 18 Robert J. Aumann, Hebrew University and Stanford University, “Power and Taxes in a Multicommodity of Economy”
May 28 Donald J. Brown, Cowles Foundation, “Existence of a Market Equilibrium in an Economy with Increasing Returns to Scale”
Sep. 10 Yves Balasco, Ecole Normal Superior, “Geometric Presentation of Equilibrium Analysis”
Sep. 22 Leonid V. Kantorovich, U.S.S.R., Academician, “Economic Models with Technical Progress”
Sep. 27 Hans-Richard Grumm, IIASA, University of Vienna, “Phase Portraits, Resilience and Strange Attractors”
Oct. 19 Arthur Okun, Brookings Institute, “Current Economy and Economic Issues of Ford/Carter Campaign”
Nov. 12 Scott Boorman, Yale University, “Disequilibrium Dynamics for Cascade Systems in Biosociology”
Nov. 15 Arthur Okun, Brookings Institute, “Short Run Fluctuations in Perspective, Part III”
Nov. 18 Charles Bischoff, IBM, “A Small Quarterly Forecasting Model of the U.K.
Nov. 23 Arthur Okun, Brookings Institute, “Short Run Fluctuations in Perspective, Part IV”
Nov. 30 Scott Boorman, Yale University, “Disequilibrium Dynamics for Cascade Systems in Biosociology, Part II”
Dec. 1 Gerard Debreu, The Core of a Large Economy” (Joint seminar with the Math Department)
Dec. 2 Steve Slutsky, Cornell University, “A Macro Model with a Non-trivial Government”
Dec. 10 Jerry Hausman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “A Conditional Probit Model of Qualitative Choice: Discrete Decisions Recognizing Interdependence”
Dec. 13 Terje Hansen, Norwegian School of Economics & Business Administration, “A Procedure for Determining Optimal Subsidies of Economic Activities in a Depressed Area in Order to Maintain Full Employment”
Dec. 17 Doug Purvis, Queens University, visiting Cowles, “Some Skepticism Concerning the Price Level Insulation Properties of a Flexible Exchange Rate”
Jan. 13 Steven Salop, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, TBA
Jan. 20 Leif Danziger, “On the theory of Contingent Labor Contracts”
Jan. 24 Robert Shiller, University of Pennsylvania, “Rational Expectations: A Survey”
Feb. 14 Lawrence Blume, University of California, Berkeley and Universitat at Bonn, “The Existence of Rational Expectations in Sequential Temporary Equilibrium”
Mar. 4 Peter Robinson, Harvard University, “Some Time Series Models and Their Estimation”
Mar. 9 Steve Ross, University of Pennsylvania, “The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive Signalling Approach”
Mar. 30 P. Shenoy, Cornell University, TBA
Mar. 31 Richard Engelbrecht, Cornell University, “Fair Allocation of Indivisible Commodities”
Apr. 5 Martin Shubik, Cowles Foundation, “A Money Rate of Interest”
Apr. 12 Pradeep Dubey, Cowles Foundation, Noncooperative Exchange with a Continuum of Traders”
Apr. 20 Donald Brown, Cowles Foundation, “Nonconvex Programming”
Apr. 21 Donald Brown, Cowles Foundation, “Intertemporal Choice under Uncertainty”
Sep. 30 Martin Weitzman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Optimal Search”
Oct. 11 Larry Weiss, Cowles Foundation, “The role of Money in Allocating Social Risks” (Brown Bag Seminar)
Oct. 14 Katsuhito Iwai, Yale University, “Macroscopic Equilibrium and Long-Run Phillips Curves”
Oct. 28 Pradeep Dubey, Yale University, “Probabilistic Values for Games”
Nov. 4 Jim Sweeney, Stanford University, “The Demand for Gasoline: A Vintage Capital Model”
Dec. 2 Pentti Kouri, Cowles Foundation, “Flexible Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Disequilibrium in the World”
Dec. 9 David Starrett, Stanford University, “Welfare Measurement for Local Public Finance”
Feb. 9 Gerald Jaynes, Yale University, “Unemployment and Training in a Dual Labor Market” (Brown Bag Seminar)
Feb. 10 Laurence Weiss, Cowles Foundation, “The Rate of Monetary Policy in a Rational Expectations Model”
Feb. 17 Willem Buiter, Princeton University, “Short Run and Long Run Effects of External Disturbances under a Flexible Exchange Rate”  (Brown Bag Seminar)
Feb. 24 Larry Lau, Stanford University, “Existence Conditions for Aggregate Demand Functions”
Mar. 3 John Geweke, University of Wisconsin, “Latent Variable Models for Time Series”
Mar. 29 Alan S. Manne, Stanford University, “Computation of Competitive Equilibria by a Sequence of Linear Programs” (Brown Bag Seminar)
Mar. 31 George Akerlof, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “The Economics of Social Customs, of Which Unemployment May be One Consequence”
Apr. 7 Sandy Grossman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “The Public Good Is a Public Good: A Theory of Corporations”
Apr. 19 Peter Phillips, Cowles Visiting Professor, University of Birmingham, “The Finite Sample Distributions of Alternative Estimators of the Marginal Propensity to Consume”
May 12 Danial McFadden, Irving Fisher Visiting Professor, California, “Econometric Models of Probabilistic Choice”
May 19 Ernst Berndt, University of British Columbia, “Foundations of Energy — Capital Complementary”
Sep. 15 David Kreps, Stanford University, “Martingales and the Valuation of Redundant Assets”
Sep. 22 Geoffrey Heal, University of Sussex, “Welfare Economics and Increasing Returns”
Sep. 29 John Sutton, London School of Economics, “The Quasi-Competitive Firm: And a Microeconomic Model of Pricing and Employment in the Trade Cycle”
Oct. 13 Glenn C. Loury, Northwestern University, “Intergenerational Transfers and the Distribution of Earnings”
Oct. 20 Eric Maskin, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “The Implication of Social Choice Rules: Some General Results on Incentive Compatibility”
Oct. 27 Hugo Sonnenschein, Princeton University, “Cournot and Walras Equilibrium”
Nov. 3 H.P. Young, IIASA, “Exploitation, Discrete Production, and the Core of an n-Person Game”
Nov. 10 Michael Rothschild, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Stochastic Capital Theory”
Nov. 17 Margaret Bray, Nuffield College, Oxford, “Rational Expectations and Informationally Efficient Markets: A Model of Commodity Futures Trading”
Dec. 1 Joseph E. Stiglitz, Oxford University, “The Repeal of the Laws of Supply and Demand”
Dec. 4 Stephen Smale, University of California, Berkeley, “Resolving the Prisoner’s Dilemma and Disarmament: Game Theory with Time”
Dec. 8 Heraklis PoleMar.akis, Columbia University, “On the Recoverability of the Cardinal Utility Index”
Dec. 15 John Shoven, Stanford University, “A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation”
Jan. 12 David Brownstone, University of California, Berkeley, “An Econometric Model of Consumer Durable Choice and Utilization Rate”
Jan. 19 Martin Weitzman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Funding Criteria for Research Development and Exploration Projects”
Jan. 22 John Geanakoplos, Harvard University, “We Can’t Disagree Forever” and “Utility Functions for Debreu’s Excess Demands”
Feb. 2 Andrew Weiss, Bell Laboratories, “Job Queues and Layoffs in Labor Markets with Flexible Wages”
Feb. 9 John Riley, University of California, Los Angeles, “Auctions and Contests”
Feb. 16 Richard Freeman, Harvard University, “Unionism and the Dispersion of Wages”
Feb. 27 Bengt Holmstrom, “Swedish School of Economics, “Incentives and Control in Organizations”
Mar. 2 Bruce Greenwald, Bell Laboratories, “Turnover in Firm Specific Informational Capital and the Pattern of Wages”
Mar. 9 Edward Prescott, University of Chicago, “Competitive Theory with Asymmetric Information: Some Optimality and Reportability Results”
Mar. 15 Truman Bewley, Northwestern University, “The Optimum Quantity of Money”
Mar. 26 Sergiu Hart, Stanford University, “Some Limit Theorems or Non-linear Economics Are Linear”
Mar. 30 Robert Barro, Rochester University, “On the Determination of the Public Debt”
Apr. 6 Yakar Kannai, Weizman Institute of Sciences, Israel, “An Approach to the Problem of Efficient Distribution of the Labor Force”
Apr. 12 Larry Weiss, Yale University, “Information, Aggregation and Policy”
Apr. 20 Jeffrey Sachs, Harvard University, “Macroeconomics Adjustment after the 1973 Oil Price Rise: Theory and Evidence”
Apr. 25 Jeremy Siegel, University of Pennsylvania, “Optimal Stabilization in a General Equilibrium Financial Model”
Apr. 27 H. Jerome Keisler, University of Wisconsin, “A Price Adjustment Model with Infinitesimal Traders”
May 2 Roy Radner, Harvard University, “Monitoring Cooperative Agreements between Principals and Agents”
May 18 Victor Pan, Thomas J. Watson Research Center, IBM, “Fast Computation for Input/Output Analysis”
Oct. 12 Donald Richter, Yale University, “A Computational Approach to Resource Allocation in Spatial Urban Models”
Oct. 19 John Roemer, Yale University and University of California, Davis, “Origins of Exploitation and Class: Value Theory of Pre-Capitalist Economies”
Nov. 9 Geoffrey Heal, Columbia University, “Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for a Resolution of the Social Choice Paradox”
Nov. 14 Oliver Hart, Cambridge University, “A Model of Imperfect Competition with Keynesian Features”
Nov. 16 William Samuelson, Boston University, “The Simple Economics of Bargaining”
Nov. 28 Gyorgy Szzakolczai, University of Texas, “Hungarian Price Reform of 1980”
Nov. 30 John Beggs, Cowles Foundation, “Pooling Cross Sections in Time Series Analysis”
Dec. 7 Andrew Postelwaite, Princeton University, “Strategic Behavior and a Notion of Ex Ante Efficiency in a Voting Model”
Mar. 7 Gregory Chow, Princeton University, “Estimation of Econometric Models with Rational Expectations”
Mar. 14 Volker Bohm, University of Mannheim, “A Simple Macroeconomic Disequilibrium Model”
Apr. 11 John B. Taylor, Yale University, “Measuring the Real Effects of Disinflation with Rational Expectations and Labor Contracts”
Apr. 18 Scott Boorman, Yale University, “Estimating Unreported Income”
Apr. 22 Paul Milgrom, Northwestern University, “The Equilibrium Limit Pricing Doesn’t Limit Entry”
Apr. 23 Glenn Loury, University of Michigan, “A Theory of Oligopoly”
Apr. 25 Donald J. Brown, Cowles Foundation, “The Rate of Interest in a Perfect Loan Market”
May 14 Alberto Holly, Ecole Polytechnique and University of Lausanne, “The LR Test, the Wald Test and Kuhn Tucker Test in Non-linear Models with Inequality Constraints”
May 16 Angus Deaton, Princeton, “Labor Supply, Commodity Demand and Rationing”
May 19 Hirofumi Uzawa, University of Tokyo, “Disequilibrium Analysis and Keynes’ General Theory”
Jun. 11 Laurence Weiss, Cowles Foundation, “Missing Information and the Cycle”
Jun. 26 Jeffrey Sachs, NBER, “Some New Angles on Macroeconomic Simulations”
Sep. 12 Prakash Chander, Indian Statistical Institute, “Dimensional Requirements for Efficient Decentralized Mechanisms”
Oct. 10 Stanley Black, Yale and Vanderbilt Universities, “On the Political Economy of Inflation in Open Economies”
Oct. 17 Roberto Mariano, University of Pennsylvania, “The Asymptotic Behavior of Predictors in a Non-Linear System”
Oct. 24 William Taylor, Bell Labratories, “Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects: Estimating the Returns to Schooling”
Oct. 31 Eugene Fama, University of Chicago, “Inflation, Output, Real Return and Capital Investment”
Nov. 7 Alan Auerbach, Harvard University, “Taxation, Portfolio Choice and Debt-Equity Ratios: A General Equilibrium Model”
Nov. 12 Gerald Jaynes, Yale University, “Unemployment and Inflation in Macro Equilibrium”
Nov. 14 David Wise, Harvard University, “Test Scores, Educational Opportunities and Individual Choice”
Nov. 21 Olivier Blanchard, Harvard University, “Production and Inventory Behavior of the U.S. Automobile Industry”
Dec. 3 Katsuhito Iwai, Cowles Foundation, “Schumpeterian Dynamics”
Dec. 5 George Rhodes, Jr., Colorado State University, “Interpretations and Extensions of Identifiability Testing in Linear Models”
Dec. 12 Robert Anderson, Cowles Foundation and Princeton University, “An Elementary Approach to Core Convergence Theorems”
Feb. 6 Stanley Black, Yale University and Vanderbilt University, “Consistent Estimation of the Limited Dependent Variable Threshold Regression Model by Ordinary Least Square”
Feb. 13 Avinash Dixit, Princeton University, “Trade in Natural Resources and Capital Goods”
Feb. 20 Jerry Hausman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “The Effect of Taxes on Labor Supply”
Feb. 27 Peter A. Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium”
Mar. 6 Robert J. Shiller, University of Pennsylvania and NBER, “The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Prices”
Apr. 3 Jeffrey Sachs, Harvard University and NBER, “Current Account Movements and the Real Exchange Rate in the 1970s: A Comparative Study”
Apr. 16 David Kreps, Stanford University, “Sequential Equilibria”
Apr. 23 Larry Weiss, Cowles Foundation, Informal workshop on current research
Apr. 24 Alvin Roth, University of Illinois, “The Economics of Matching: Stability and Incentives”
May 1 Donald J. Brown, Cowles Foundation, “Existence of a Market Equilibrium Subject to a Budget Constraint”
May 8 Larry Summers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Inflation and the Valuation of Corporate Equities”
May 15 Mamoru Kaneko, Cowles Foundation and University of Tsukuba, “The Nash Social Welfare Function and the Nash Bargaining Solution”
Jun. 5 Roger Gordon, Bell Labs, “Taxation of Corporate Capital Income: Tax Revenues vs. Tax Distortions”
Sep. 18 Jerry Hausman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Specification Tests for LOGIT Models”
Sep. 24 Robert Hall, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, “The Excessive Sensitivity of Employment to Demand”
Oct. 2 John Geanakoplos, Cowles Foundation, “Understanding Infinite Horizon Models: the 1959 Samuelson Consumption-Loan Model and the 1965 Diamond Capital Model”
Oct. 9 Martin Weitzman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Increasing Returns to Scale and the Foundations of Unemployment Equilibrium Theory”
Oct. 16 Thomas Rothenberg, University of California, Berkeley, “Approximate Normality of Generalized Least Square Estimates”
Oct. 23 Guillermo Calvo, Columbia University, “Staggered Contracts and Exchange Rate Policy”
Nov. 6 Paul R. Milgrom, Northwestern University, “A Theory of Auctions and Competitive Bidding”
Nov. 13 Thomas Sargent, University of Minnesota and Visiting Professor at Harvard, “The Real Bills Doctrine vs. The Quantity Theory: A Reconsideration”
Nov. 20 John Hartwick, Queens University, “Learning About and Exploiting Exhaustive Resource Deposits of Uncertain Size”
Dec. 11 John Whalley, University of Western Ontario, “General Equilibrium Calculations of Distributional and Efficiency Effects of Taxes”
Feb. 5 Christophe Chamley, Yale University, “Efficient Taxation in a Stylized Model of Intertemporal General Equilibrium”
Feb. 19 Bengt Holmstrom, Northwestern University, “A Theory of Western Wage Dynamics”
Feb. 26 Lars Hansen, Carnegie-Mellon University and University of Chicago, “Estimation Procedures for Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models”
Mar. 26 John Taylor, Princeton University, “The Swedish Investment Funds System as a Stabilization Policy Rule”
Apr. 2 David Kreps, Stanford University and Yale University, “Rational Learning and Rational Expectation”
Apr. 16 William Nordhaus, Yale University, “Are Real Interest Rates Really High?”
Apr. 23 Rudiger Dornbusch, “Intertemporal Trade Theory”
Apr. 30 Denis Sargan, London School of Economics and visiting professor at University of Florida, “Some Problems with Muellbauer’s Method of Estimating Rational Expectations Models”
May 3 Professor Takatoshi Ito, University of Minnesota, “A Comparison of Japanese and United States Macroeconomic Behavior by a Vector Autoregressive Model”
May 10 Professor V.K. Chetty, Indian Statistical Institute and Visitor at Cowles Foundation, “Economics of Price and Distributional Controls: Indian Sugar Industry”
Oct. 8 Olivier Blanchard, Harvard University, “Price Desynchronization and Price Level Inertia”
Oct. 22 Michael Bruno, Hebrew University and NBER, “Terms of Trade Shocks and the Productivity Slowdown”
Oct. 29 Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey Heal, Cowles Foundation, “Average and Marginal Cost Pricing of a Public Monopoly”
Nov. 12 Robert Weber, Northwestern University, “The Allais Paradox, Dutch Auctions, and Alpha Utility Theory”
Nov. 16 Andrew Caplin, Yale University, “Aggregation of (S,s) Inventory Policies in a Theory of Retailers Demand”
Nov. 19 Geoffrey Heal, Cowles Foundation, “Economies of Scale and the Foundations of Macroeconomics”
Dec. 3 Alan Auerbach, Harvard University, “Taxes, Firm Financial Policy and the Cost of Capital: An Empirical Analysis”
Dec. 9 Sandy Struckmeyer, Yale University, “Energy Price Shocks and Their Impact on Economic Growth and the Valuation of Capital”
Dec. 10 Robert Gordon, Tjalling Koopmans, William Nordhaus and Brian Skinner, Yale University, “Materials Modeling as Applied to Copper”
Jan. 11 Alok Bhargava, London School of Economics, TBA
Feb. 11 John Whalley, University of Western Ontario, “Progressivity or Regressivity: Conclusions from Tax Incidence Calculations”
Feb. 25 Kenneth Singleton, Carnegie-Mellon University, “A Time Series Analysis of Intertemporal Consumption and Leisure Decisions under Nonseparable Utility”
Mar. 30 Peter Phillips, Cowles Foundation, “The Distribution of LIML”
Apr. 6 Alan S. Manne, Stanford University, “A Three-Region Intertemporal Model of Energy, International Trade and Capital Flows”
Apr. 22 Martin Weitzman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Employment Implications of Alternative Compenstionn Systems”
Apr. 29 Jose Scheinkman, University of Chicago, “Cournot Pre-commitment and Bertrand Competition Yield Cournot Outcomes” (with David Kreps)
May 18 Ray C. Fair, Cowles Foundation, “A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macro Models”
May 24 Richard Cooper, Harvard University, “The International Economy Today”
Sep. 28 Werner Hildenbrand, University of Bonn, “Estimation of Engle Curves and the Law of Demand”
Dec. 7 W. Brian Arthur, Stanford University, “On Competing Technologies and historical Small Events: The Dynamics of Choice under Increasing Returns”
Dec. 9 Marcus Miller, Princeton University, “Dynamic Games and the Time Inconsistency of Optimal Policy in Open Economics”
Jan. 19 John Rust, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Optimal Replacement Timing and Monopoly Choice of Durability” (Brown Bag Seminar)
Jan. 26 Raaj Sah, University of Pennsylvania, “The Architecture of Economic Systems: Hierarchies and Polyarchies” (Brown Bag Seminar)
Feb. 22 Beth Allen, University of Pennsylvania, “General Equilibrium with Information Sales”
Mar. 2 Jerry Green, Harvard University, “Recent Work on Incentives”
Apr. 6 Dan mcFadden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Is There Life after Debt? The Experience of Middle-Income LDCs”
May 7 Ethan Akin, City College of New York, “Competitive Growth of Firms in an Industry”
May 8 Jean-Michel Grandmont, CEPRENAP, “On Endogenous Competitive Business Cycles”
May 11 Hugo Sonnenschein, Princeton University, “Refinement of the Nash Equilibrium Concept: An Introduction”
Sep. 14 Robert Townsend, Carnegie-Mellon University, “Financial Structures as Communication Systems”
Oct. 12 Hal White, University of California, San Diego, “Toward a More Realistic Framework for Econometric Estimation”
Nov. 9 Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Pricing and the Distributional Money Holdings in a Search Equilibrium”
Dec. 14 Robert Wilson, Stanford University, “On Equilibrium of Bid-Ask Markets”
Feb. 8 Oliver Hart, University of Cambridge, “Incomplete Contracts and Renegotiations”
Mar. 8 Sherwin Rosen, University of Chicago, “The Distribution of Prizes in a Match-Play Tournament with Single Elimination”
Apr. 12 Jerry Hausman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Errors in Variables”
May 10 Robert E. Hall, Stanford University, “Efficient Stabilization Policy”
Sep. 20 Jean Tirole, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Principals with Private Information”
Oct. 18 James Poterba, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Reporting Errors and Labor Market Dynamics”
Oct. 25 Herbert E. Scarf, Cowles Foundation, “Integral Polyhedra in Three Space”
Nov. 15 Hugo Sonnenschein, Princeton University, “Monopoly, the Coase Conjecture, and Bargaining with One-Sided Uncertainty”
Nov. 22 Donald J. Brown, Cowles Foundation, “Edgeworth Equilibria”
Dec. 9 Grayham Mizon, University of Southampton, “Efficient Estimation Using Panel Data”
Dec. 13 Paul Milgrom, Cowles Foundation, “Repeated Moral Hazard with Unrestricted Borrowing and Saving”
Feb. 21 Richard Kihlstrom, University of Pennsylvania, “Managerial Incentives in Publicly Traded Firms”
Mar. 5 Ray C. Fair, Cowles Foundation, “Informal Discussion of the Macroeconomic Consequences of Deficit Targeting” (Staff Luncheon)
Mar. 26 William D. Nordhaus, Cowles Foundation, Informal discussion of the “Coming Boom” (Staff Luncheon)
Mar. 28 Michael Wickens, University of Southampton, “Estimating Rational Expectations Models”
Apr. 2 Truman F. Bewley, Cowles Foundation, Informal discussion of why incomplete contracts cannot explain layoffs (Staff Luncheon)
Apr. 9 James Tobin, Cowles Foundation, Informal discussion about the future of social security (Staff Luncheon)
Apr. 25 James Poterba, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Investment Behavior”
Apr. 30 Donald W.K. Andrews, Cowles Foundation, Informal discussion of power in econometric applications (Staff Luncheon)
May 16 Jerry Green, Harvard University, “Competition on Many Fronts”
Sep. 19 Jose A. Schienkman, University of Chicago, “Nonlinear Dynamics and Stock Returns”
Oct. 17 Eric Maskin, Harvard University, “Rational Expectations with Imperfect Competition”
Nov. 21 Andreu Mas-Colell, Harvard University, “An Equivalence Theorem for a Bargaining Set”
Jan. 16 Sydney Afriat, University of Ottawa, “Utility Construction — Revisited”
Feb. 20 Clive W.J. Granger, University of California, San Diego, “Cointegrated Economic Variables”
Mar. 27 Gregory Mankiw, Harvard University, “Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence”
Apr. 17 Daniel L. McFadden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “A Method of Simulated Moments for Econometric Estimation”
May 15 John Roberts, Stanford University, “An Economics Approach to Influence in Organizations”
Oct. 30 Charles Manski, University of Wisconsin, “Binary Response Analysis”
Nov. 13 Ariel Rubinstein, Hebrew University and Princeton University, “The Complexity of Strategies and the Resolution of Conflicts: An Introduction”
Dec. 11 Oliver Hart, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Contract Renegotiation and Coasian Dynamics”
Feb. 19 Thomas Sarget, Hoover Institution, “Convergence of Least Squares Learning in Environments with Hidden State Variables and Private Information”
Mar. 11 Adrian Pagan, University of Rochester, “Nonparametric Methods for Estimating Models with Risk Terms”
May 13 Vernon Smith, University of Arizona, “Designing ‘Smart’ Computer-Assisted Market Institutions: Natural Gas Networks”
Sep. 22 Steven Durlauf, Stanford University, “Locally Interacting Systems, Coordination Failure, and the Behavior of Aggregate Activity”
Oct. 13 David Kreps, Stanford University, “Statis Choice in the Presence of Unforeseen Contingencies”
Nov. 3 Per Bak, Brookhaven National Laboratories, “Economics, Earthquakes, and Sandpiles”
Dec. 8 James Mirrlees, Nuffield College, “Welfare Economics with Economies of Scale and Location”
Mar. 2 Olivier Blanchard, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Ranking, Unemployment Duration, and Wages”
Mar. 30 Robert F. Engle, University of California, San Diego, “Options Pricing with Stochastic Variability”
Apr. 13 Amos Tversky, Stanford University, “Constructive Choice”
Sep. 21 Andrei Shleifer, Harvard University, “The Allocation of Talent: Implications for Growth”
Oct. 19 Whitney Newey, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Nonparametric Estimation of Exact Consumer Surplus”
Nov. 9 Dilip Abreu, Princeton University, “Virtual Implementation”
Dec. 7 Michael Todd, Cornell University, “Potential Functions for Linear Programming and a Low-Complexity Interior-Point Algorithm”
Mar. 1 Stanley Fischer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development”
Apr. 12 B. Douglas Bernheim, Princeton University, A Theory of Conformity”
Sep. 20 Stanley Fischer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Moderate Inflation”
Oct. 11 Andrew Postlewaite, University of Pennsylvania, “Social Norms and Economic Behavior”
Dec. 6 James Stock, Harvard University, “Testing for and Dating Changes in Growth Rates in Integrated and Cointegrated Series: Empirical Evidence”
Jan. 31 James Durbin, London School of Economics, “Fitting Structural Time-Series Models to Non-Gaussian Data”
Feb. 28 Werner Hildenbrand, University of Bonn, “Market Demand: Theory and Empirical Evidence”
Apr. 10 N. Gregory Mankiw, Harvard University, “Asymmetric Price Adjustment and Economic Fluctuations”
Sep. 25 Drew Fudenberg, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Rules of Thumb for Social Learning”
Oct. 16 James Poterba, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “State Responses to Fiscal Crises: Natural Experiments for Studying Budgetary Institutions”
Nov. 6 Jean-François Richard, University of Pittsburgh, “Bayesian and Classicals: Complements or Substitutes”
Feb. 26 Richard Thaler, Cornell University, “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle”
Sep. 17 John Y. Campbell, Princeton University, “Understanding Risk and Return”
Oct. 22 Andrew R. Solow, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, “Model-Based Inference About Global Warming”
Nov. 5 Lars Hansen, University of Chicago, “Pessimism, Neurosis, and Feelings About Risk in General Equilibrium”
Feb. 25 Andreu Mas-Colell, Harvard University, “Generically, the Equilibrium Payoffs of a Bi-Matrix Game Are Finite”
Mar. 25 Darrell Duffie, Stanford University, “A Liquidity-Based Model of Asset-Backed Security Design”
Apr. 15 Adam Brandenburger, Harvard Business School, “Biform Games”
May 6 Donald J. Brown, Stanford University, “Walrasian Comparative Statics”
Sep. 23 Nancy L. Ross, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Firm Diversification and CEO Compensation: Managerial Ability or Executive Entrenchment”
Oct. 21 Edward E. Leamer, University of California, Los Angeles, “The Empirics of Economic Growth in Previously Centrally Planned Economies”
Nov. 11 Dilip Abreu, Princeton University, “Bargaining and Reputation”
Feb. 24 Avinash K. Dixit, Princeton University, “Stochastic Dynamic Investment and Employment Decisions”
Mar. 24 Paul M. Romer, University of California, Berkeley, “The Politics of Entitlement”
Apr. 21 John McMillan, University of California, San Diego, “Selling the Spectrum”
Oct. 13 Benjamin M. Friedman, Harvard University, “Moral Consequences of Economic Growth”
Nov. 3 Jonathan H. Gruber, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Does Public Insurance Crowd Out Private Insurance?”
Dec. 8 Jerry Green, Harvard University, “Compensatory Transfers in Group Decision Problems”
Mar. 29 James D. Hamilton, University of California, San Diego, “Measuring the Liquidity Effect”
Apr. 19 Nancy L. Stokey, University of Chicago, “Are There Limits to Growth?”
Oct. 3 Werner Hildenbrand, University of Bonn, “Aggregation Under Structural Stability”
Oct. 8 Paul Milgrom, Stanford University, “Auction Theory in Practice: The Simultaneous Ascending Auction”
Nov. 14 Ernst Fehr, University of Zürich, “Homo-Reciprocans — The Economic Implications of Reciprocity”
Dec. 5 Robert Hall, Stanford University, “The Temporal Concentration of Job Destruction and Inventory Liquidation: A Theory of Recession”
Oct. 23 Ariel Rubinstein, Tel Aviv University, “Games with Procedurally Rational Players” (with M. Osborne)
Nov. 11 Special Seminar: John Nash, Jr., Princeton University, “Ideal Money”
Nov. 13 John Nash, Jr., Princeton University, “Reduction of Coalitions to Agencies:  A Scheme for the Analysis of Cooperative Games”
Dec. 4 Jose Scheinkman, University of Chicago, “Competition Among Exchanges” (with J. Santos)
Feb. 13 David Levine, University of California, Los Angeles, “Lotteries, Indivisibilities and Incentive Constraints: A Review of the Continuum Case” (with T. Kehoe and E. Prescott)
Mar. 6 Danny Quah, London School of Economics, “Growth and Distribution with Knowledge as Property”
Apr. 24 Paul Krugman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “What Happened to Asia?”
Sep. 24 Selo Imrohoroglu, University of Southern California, “Myopia and Social Security”
Oct. 22 Robert Engle, University of California, San Diego, “CAViaR: Conditional Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles”
Nov. 5 Martin Weitzman, Harvard University, “A Contribution to the Theory of Welfare Accounting”
Dec. 2 Narayana R. Kocherlakota, University of Minnesota, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, “Efficient Allocations with Hidden Income and Hidden Storage” (with Harold L. Cole)
Feb. 18 Andrew Caplin, New York University, “The Social Discount Rate” (with John Leahy)
Mar. 24 Nobu Kiyotaki, London School of Economics, “Inside Money and Liquidity” (with John Moore)
Mar. 31 Sergiu Hart, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, “The Evolution of Rationality”
Feb. 21 Menahem Yaari, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, “A Credit Market a la David Hume” (joint with Microeconomic Theory Workshop)
Mar. 30 Edward Prescott, University of Minnesota, “Taxes, Regulations, and Asset Prices” (joint with Macroeconomics Workshop)
Apr. 18 Lars Peter Hansen, University of Chicago, “Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth” (joint with Microeconomic Theory Workshop and Macroeconomics Workshop)
Feb. 22 Gil Kalai, Hebrew University, “Statistical Learnability and Rationality of Choice
Nov. 15 Robert Hall, Stanford University, “Dynamics of Corporate Earnings“ (joint with Macroeconomics Workshop)
Sep. 26 Robert Hall, Stanford University, “Wage Determination and Employment Fluctuations” (joint  with Labor and Population Workshop)
Dec. 12 Hugo Sonnenschein, University of Chicago, “Overcoming Incentive Constraints” (with Matthew O. Jackson)
Apr. 9 Michele Boldrin, University of Minnesota, “Innovation, Intellectual Property, and Market Size” (with David K. Levine)