Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1378 Eric Gautier, Yuichi Kitamura, "Nonparametric Estimation in Random Coefficients Binary Choice Models," Econometrica, (March 2017), 81(2): 581-607 [See CFDP 1721]
CFP 1377 Donald W. K. Andrews, Xiaoxia Shi, "Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Econometrica, (March 2013), 81(2): 609-666 ([Supplemental material] [See CFDP 1761R2; Supplemental material]) [See CFDP 1761R2]
CFP 1376 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "An Introduction to Robust Mechanism Design," Foundations and Trends in Microeconomics, (January 2012), 8(3): 169-230 [See CFDP 1818]
CFP 1375 Donald W. K. Andrews, Xu Cheng, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Uniform Inference with Sporadic Identification Failure," Journal of Econometrics, (March 2013), 173(1): 36-56 ([Supplemental data]) [See CFDP 1824R]
CFP 1374 Ioannis Kasparis, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Dynamic Misspecification in Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Journal of Econometrics, (June 2012), 168(2): 270-284 [See CFDP 1700]
CFP 1373 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Exploring the Mysteries of Trends and Bubbles," 599-616 (in Anderson, K., Australia’s Economy and its International Context: The Joseph Fisher Lectures, Volume II, 1956-2012, Adelaide: University of Adelaide Press, 2012, Ch. 54)
CFP 1372 Donald W. K. Andrews, Panle Jai Barwick, "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure," Econometrica, (November 2017), 80(6): 2805-2826 ([Supplemental material] [Computer programs also available on the Econometric Society website] [See CFDP 1676R; Supplemental material]) [See CFDP 1676R]
CFP 1371 Stefan Thurner, J. Doyne Farmer, John Geanakoplos, "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Quantitative Finance, (May 2012), 12:5: 695-707 [See CFDP 1745R]
CFP 1370 Donald W. K. Andrews, Xu Cheng, "Estimation and Inference with Weak, Semi-Strong, and Strong Identification," 2153-2211 (Econometrica (September 2012) 80(5)) [See CFDP 1773R]
CFP 1369 Joseph G. Altonji, Hidehiko Ichimura, Taisuke Otsu, "Estimating Derivatives in Nonseparable Models with Limited Dependent Variables," Econometrica, (July 2012), 80(4): 1701-1719 [See CFDP 1668R]
CFP 1368 Yonghui Zhang, Liangjun Su, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Testing for Common Trends in Semiparametric Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects," Econometrics Journal, (February 2012), 15(1): 56-100 [See CFDP 1832]
CFP 1367 Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, Ori Haimanko, "Prizes versus Wages with Envy and Pride," Japanese Economic Review, (March 2013), 64(1): 98-121 [See CFDP 1537], [See CFDP 1835]
CFP 1366 Chunrong Ai, Xiaohong Chen, "Semiparametric Efficiency Bound for Models of Sequential Moment Restrictions Containing Unknown Functions," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2012), 170(2): 442-457 [See CFDP 1731]
CFP 1365 Donald W. K. Andrews, Patrik Guggenberger, "Asymptotics for LS, GLS, and Feasible GLS Statistics in an AR(1) Model with Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2012), 169(2): 196-210 [See CFDP 1665R2]
CFP 1364 Werner Ploberger, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Optimal Estimation under Nonstandard Conditions," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2012), 169(2): 258-265 [See CFDP 1748]
CFP 1363 Liudas Giraitis, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Mean and Autocovariance Function Estimation near the Boundary of Stationarity," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2012), 169(2): 166-178 [See CFDP 1690]
CFP 1362 Xu Cheng, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Cointegrating Rank Selection in Models with Time-varying Variance," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2012), 169(2): 155-165 [See CFDP 1688]
CFP 1361 Martin B. Hackmann, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Health Reform, Health Insurance, and Selection: Estimating Selection into Health Insurance Using the Massachusetts Health Reform," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2012), 102:3: 498-501 [See CFDP 1841]
CFP 1360 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, Satoru Takahashi, "Efficient Auctions and Interdependent Types," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2012), 102(3): 319-324 [See CFDP 1846]
CFP 1359 Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, "A Specification Test for Nonlinear Nonstationary Models," The Annals of Statistics, (January 2012), 40(2): 727–758 (:2) [See CFDP 1779]
CFP 1358 John Geanakoplos, Robert Axtell, J. Doyne Farmer, Peter Howitt, Benjamin Conlee, Jonathan Goldstein, Matthew Hendrey, Nathan M. Palmer, Yangru Wu, "Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2012), 102(3): 53-58 [See CFDP 1852]
CFP 1357 Daniel Ackerberg, Xiaohong Chen, Jinyong Hahn, "A Practical Asymptotic Variance Estimator for Two-Step Semiparametric Estimators," Review of Economics and Statistics, (May 2012), 94(2): 482-498 [See CFDP 1803]
CFP 1356 Anat Bracha, Donald J. Brown, "Affective Decision Making: A Theory of Optimism Bias," 67-80 (Games and Economic Behavior (May 2012) 75(1)) [See CFDP 1633R]
CFP 1355 Xiaoxia Shi, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Nonlinear Cointegrating Regression under Weak Identification," Econometric Theory, (June 2012), 28(3): 509-547 [See CFDP 1768]
CFP 1354 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Why Does Bad News Increase Volatility and Decrease Leverage?," Journal of Economic Theory, (March 2012), 147(2): 501-525 [See CFDP 1762R2]
CFP 1353 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Tranching, CDS, and Asset Prices: How Financial Innovation Can Cause Bubbles and Crashes," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, (January 2012), 4(1): 190-225 [See CFDP 1809R]
CFP 1352 Costas Arkolakis, Arnaud Costinot, Andréz Rodríguez-Clare, "New Trade Models, Same Old Gains?," 102(1): 94-130 (American Economic Review (February 2012))
CFP 1351 Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "The ET Interview: A Conversation with Eric Ghysels," Econometric Theory, (February 2012), 28(1): 207-217
CFP 1350 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Folklore Theorems, Implicit Maps, and Indirect Inference," Econometrica, (January 2012), 80(1): 425-454 (includes Supplemental Material) [See CFDP 1781]
CFP 1349 Peter C. B. Phillips, Yangru Wu, Jun Yu, "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," International Economic Review, (February 2011), 52(1): 201–226 [See CFDP 1699]
CFP 1348 Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "Dating the Timeline of Financial Bubbles during the Subprime Crisis," Quantitative Economics, (November 2010), 1(2): 455-491 [See CFDP 1770]
CFP 1347 Jun Yu, Peter C. B. Phillips, ""Corrigendum” to “A Gaussian Approach for Continuous Time Models of Short-term Interest Rates [CFP 1124]"," Econometrics Journal, (February 2011), 14(4): 126-129 [See CFDP 1309]
CFP 1346 Peter C. B. Phillips, Liangjun Su, "Non-parametric Regression under Location Shifts," Econometrics Journal, (October 2011), 14(3): 457-486 [See CFDP 1702]
CFP 1345 Xiaohong Chen, Demian Pouzo, "Estimation of Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models with Possibly Nonsmooth Generalized Residuals," Econometrica, (January 2012), 80(1): 277-321 ([Supplemental Material]) [See CFDP 1650R2]
CFP 1344 Xiaohong Chen, Han Hong, Denis Nekipelov, "Nonlinear Models of Measurement Errors," Journal of Economic Literature, (December 2011), 49(4): 901-937
CFP 1343 Xiaohu Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "Bias in Estimating Multivariate and Univariate Diffusions," Journal of Econometrics, (April 2011), 161(2): 228-245 [See CFDP 1778]
CFP 1342 Alberto Bisin, John Geanakoplos, Piero Gottardi, Enrico Minelli, Heracles M. Polemarchakis, "Markets and Contracts," Journal of Mathematical Economics, (May 2011), 47(3): 279-288
CFP 1341 Dirk Bergemann, Karl Schlag, "Robust Monopoly Pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, (November 2011), 46(6): 2527-2543 [See CFDP 1527R2]
CFP 1340 Yixiao Sun, Peter C. B. Phillips, Sainan Jin, "Power Maximization and Size Control in Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Tests with Exponentiated Kernels," Econometric Theory, (December 2011), 27(6): 1320-1368 [See CFDP 1749]
CFP 1339 Chirok Han, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul, "Uniform Asymptotic Normality in Stationary and Unit Root Autoregression," Econometric Theory, (December 2011), 27(6): 1117-1151 [See CFDP 1746]
CFP 1338 Chirok Han, Jin Seo Cho, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Infinite Density at the Median and the Typical Shape of Stock Return Distributions," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (April 2011), 29(2): 282-294 [See CFDP 1701]
CFP 1337 Ke-Li Xu, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Tilted Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Functions with Empirical Applications," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (October 2011), 29(4): 518-528 [See CFDP 1612]
CFP 1336 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, "Targeting in Advertising Markets: Implications for Offline versus Online Media," RAND Journal of Economics, 42(3): 417-443 [See CFDP 1758R]
CFP 1335 Taisuke Otsu, "Moderate Deviations of Generalized Method of Moments and Empirical Likelihood Estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, (January 2011), 102(8): 1203-1216 [See CFDP 1785]
CFP 1334 Taisuke Otsu, "Large Deviations of Generalized Method of Moments and Empirical Likelihood Estimators," Econometrics Journal, (July 2011), 14(2): 321-329 [See CFDP 1783]
CFP 1333 Johannes Hörner, Takuo Sugaya, Satoru Takahashi, Nicolas Vieille, "Recursive Methods in Discounted Stochastic Games: An Algorithm for delta approaching 1 and a Folk Theorem," Econometrica, (July 2011), 79(4): 1277-1318 [See CFDP 1742]
CFP 1332 John Geanakoplos, "What’s Missing from Macroeconomics: Endogenous Leverage and Default," 220-238 (in Marek Jarocinski, Frank Smets, and Christian Thimann, eds., Approaches to Monetary Policy Revisited — Lesson from the Crisis, Sixth ECB Central Banking Conference 18-19 November 2010, European Central Bank, 2011)
CFP 1331 John Geanakoplos, "Incorporating Financial Features into Macroeconomics: Discussion," (in Macroeconomic Challenges: The Decade Ahead. Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, 2010)
CFP 1330 John Geanakoplos, Pradeep Dubey, "Credit Cards and Inflation," Games and Economic Behavior, (November 2010), 70(2): 325-353 (with Pradeep Dubey) [See CFDP 1709]
CFP 1329 Xiaohong Chen, Markus Reiss, "On Rate Optimality for Ill-posed Inverse Problems in Econometrics," Econometric Theory, (June 2011), 27(3): 497-521 [See CFDP 1626]

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.