Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1464 Paul Bracken, Martin Shubik, "War Gaming in the Information Age, Theory and Purpose," Naval War College Review, 54(2): 47-60
CFP 1463 Kai Nagel, Martin Shubik, Maya Paczuski, Per Bak, "Spatial Competition and Price Formation," Physica A, (December 2000), 287(3-4): 546-562
CFP 1462 Amanda E. Kowalski, "The Early Impact of the Affordable Care Act, State by State," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2: 277-355 [See CFDP 1959]
CFP 1461 Ioannis Kasparis, Elena Andreou, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Nonparametric Predictive Regression," Journal of Econometrics, (April 2015), 185(2): 468-494 [See CFDP 1878]
CFP 1460 Giuseppe Cavaliere, Peter C. B. Phillips, Stephan Smeekes, A. M. Robert Taylor, "Lag Length Selection for Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Nonstationary Volatility," Econometric Reviews, (April 2015), 34(4): 512-536 [See CFDP 1844]
CFP 1459 Joseph G. Altonji, Ching-I Huang, Christopher R. Taber, "Estimating the Cream Skimming Effect of School Choice," Journal of Political Economy, (April 2015), 123(2): 266-324
CFP 1458 Martin B. Hackmann, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Adverse Selection and an Individual Mandate: When Theory Meets Practice," American Economic Review, (March 2015), 105(3): 1030-1066 [See CFDP 1899]
CFP 1457 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "The Limits of Price Discrimination," American Economic Review, (March 2015), 105(3): 921-957 [See CFDP 1896R3]
CFP 1456 Jinyuan Chang, Song Xi Chen, Xiaohong Chen, "High Dimensional Generalized Empirical Likelihood for Moment Restrictions with Dependent Data," Journal of Econometrics, (March 2015), 185(1): 283-304
CFP 1455 Peter C. B. Phillips, Chirok Han, "The True Limit Distributions of the Anderson-Hsiao IV Estimators in Panel Autoregression," Economics Letters, (February 2015), 127: 89-92 [See CFDP 1963]
CFP 1454 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Norming Rates and Limit Theory for Some Time-Varying Coefficient Autoregressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, (November 2014), 35(6): 592-623 [See CFDP 1916]
CFP 1453 Donald W. K. Andrews, Patrik Guggenberger, "A Conditional-Heteroskedasticity-Robust Confidence Interval for the Autoregressive Parameter," Review of Economics and Statistics, (May 2014), 96(2): 376-381 [See CFDP 1812R]
CFP 1452 Thomas Quint, Martin Shubik, "The Demonetization of Gold: Transactions and the Change in Control," Annals of Finance, (February 2015), 11(1): 109-149 [See CFDP 1814]
CFP 1451 Giovanni Maggi, Robert W. Staiger, "Optimal Design of Trade Agreements in the Presence of Renegotiation," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (February 2015), 7(1): 109-143
CFP 1450 Britta Augsburg, Ralph De Hass, Heike Harmgart, Costas Meghir, "The Impacts of Microcredit: Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, (January 2015), 7(1): 183-203
CFP 1449 Geoffroy de Clippel, Kfir Eliaz, Kareen Rozen, "Competing for Consumer Inattention," Journal of Political Economy, (December 2014), 122(6): 1203-1234 [See CFDP 1901]
CFP 1448 Hyungsik Roger Moon, Benoit Perron, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Point-optimal Panel Unit Root Tests with Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrics Journal, (October 2014), 17(3): 338-372
CFP 1447 Eric Smith, Martin Shubik, "Runs, Panics and Bubbles: Diamond-Dybvig and Morris-Shin Reconsidered," Annals of Finance, (November 2014), 10(4): 603-622 [See CFDP 1869]
CFP 1446 Gabrielle Gayer, Itzhak Gilboa, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler, "Pareto Efficiency with Different Beliefs," Journal of Legal Studies, (June 2014), 43(S2): S151-S171
CFP 1445 Dino Gerardi, Johannes Hörner, Lucas Maestri, "The Role of Commitment in Bilateral Trade," Journal of Economic Theory, (November 2014), 154: 578-603 [See CFDP 1760R]
CFP 1444 David A. Miller, Kareen Rozen, "Wasteful Sanctions, Underperformance, and Endogenous Supervision," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (November 2014), 6(4): 326-361
CFP 1443 Peter C. B. Phillips, Sainan Jin, "Testing the Martingale Hypothesis," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (January 2014), 32(4): 537-554 [See CFDP 1912]
CFP 1442 Orazio P. Attanasio, Sally M. Grantham-McGregor, Costas Meghir, Marta Rubio-Codina, Emla Fitzsimons, Camila Fernańdez, "Using the infrastructure of a conditional cash transfer program to deliver a scalable integrated early child development program," (September 2014), 349
CFP 1441 Steven T. Berry, Philip A. Haile, "Identification in Differentiated Products Markets Using Market Level Data," Econometrica, (September 2014), 82(5): 1749-1797 [See CFDP 1744R]
CFP 1440 Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis, "Trade and the Topography of the Spatial Economy," Quarterly Journal of Economics, (August 2014), 129(3): 1085-1140
CFP 1439 Juergen Huber, Martin Shubik, Shyam Sunder, "Sufficiency of an Outside Bank and a Default Penalty to Support the Value of Fiat Money: Experimental Evidence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, (October 2014), 47: 317-337 [See CFDP 1675R2]
CFP 1438 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Homage to Halbert White," Journal of Financial Econometrics, 12(4): 618-619
CFP 1437 Xiaohong Chen, Maria Ponomareva, Elie Tamer, "Likelihood Inference in Some Finite Mixture Models," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 87-99 [See CFDP 1895]
CFP 1436 Xiaohong Chen, Zhipeng Liao, "Sieve M Inference on Irregular Parameters," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 70-86
CFP 1435 Xiaohong Chen, Norman R. Swanson, "Causality, Prediction, and Specification Analysis: Recent Advances and Future Directions," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 1-4
CFP 1434 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler, "Economic Models as Analogies," Economic Journal, (August 2014), 124(578): F513-F533
CFP 1433 Yinxiao Huang, Xiaohong Chen, Wei Biao Wu, "Recursive Nonparametric Estimation for Time Series," IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, (February 2014), 60(2): 1301-1312
CFP 1432 John Geanakoplos, Lasse H. Pedersen, "Monitoring Leverage," 175-182 (in Markus K. Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy, eds., Risk Topography: Systemic Risk and Macro Modeling, NBER, 2014) [See CFDP 1838]
CFP 1431 John Geanakoplos, William R. Zame, "Collateral Equilibrium, I: A Basic Framework," Economic Theory, (August 2014), 56(3): 443-492 [See CFDP 1906]
CFP 1430 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Endogenous Collateral Constraints and The Leverage Cycle," Annual Review of Economics, (August 2014), 6: 771-799
CFP 1429 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Unit Roots in Life — A Graduate Student Story," Econometric Theory, (August 2014), 30(4): 719-736 [See CFDP 1913]
CFP 1428 Timothy B. Armstrong, "Weighted KS Statistics for Inference on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Journal of Econometrics, (August 2014), 181(2): 92-116
CFP 1427 Daniel Ackerberg, Xiaohong Chen, Jinyong Hahn, Zhipeng Liao, "Asymptotic Efficiency of Semiparametric Two-step GMM," Review of Economic Studies, (July 2014), 81(3): 919-943 [See CFDP 1880]
CFP 1426 Itzhak Gilboa, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler, "No-Betting-Pareto Dominance," Econometrica, (July 2014), 82(4): 1405-1442
CFP 1425 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, Jun Yu, "Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behaviour," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, (June 2014), 76(3): 315-333 [See CFDP 1842]
CFP 1424 Robert J. Shiller, "Speculative Asset Prices," American Economic Review, (June 2014), 104(6): 1486-1517 [See CFDP 1936]
CFP 1423 Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn, Jamin D. Speer, "Trends in Earnings Differentials across College Majors and the Changing Task Composition of Jobs," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2014), 104(5): 387-393
CFP 1422 Peter C. B. Phillips, "On Confidence Intervals for Autoregressive Roots and Predictive Regression," Econometrica, (May 2014), 82(3): 1177-1195 [See CFDP 1879]
CFP 1421 Robert J. Shiller, "Why Is Housing Finance Still Stuck in Such a Primitive Stage?," American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, (May 2014), 104(5): 73-76 [See CFDP 1934]
CFP 1420 John Geanakoplos, Ioannis Karatzas, Martin Shubik, William D. Sudderth, "Inflationary Equilibrium in a Stochastic Economy with Independent Agents," Journal of Mathematical Economics, (May 2014), 52: 1-11 [See CFDP 1708]
CFP 1419 John Geanakoplos, "Leverage, Default, and Forgiveness: Lessons from the American and European Crises," Journal of Macroeconomics, (March 2014), 39(Part B): 313-333
CFP 1418 Donald J. Brown, Caterina Calsamiglia, "Alfred Marshall’s Cardinal Theory of Value: The Strong Law of Demand," Economic Theory Bulletin, (April 2014), 2(1): 65-75 [See CFDP 1615R]
CFP 1417 Giovanni Maggi, "International Trade Agreements," 317-390 (in Elhanan Helpman, Kenneth Rogoff and Gita Gopinath, eds., The Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 4)
CFP 1416 Quingmin Liu, George J. Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, "Stable Matching with Incomplete Information," Econometrica, (March 2014), 82(2): 541-587 [See CFDP 1870]
CFP 1415 Xiaohong Chen, Victor Chernozhukov, Sokbae Lee, Whitney Newey, "Local Identification of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Models," Econometrica, (March 2014), 82(2): 785-809 ([Supplemental Appendix]) [See CFDP 1795R]

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.