Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1478 Xiaohong Chen, Demian Pouzo, "Sieve Wald and QLR Inferences on Semi/Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models," Econometrica, (May 2015), 83(3): 1013-1079 [See CFDP 1897R2]
CFP 1477 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Memorial to Edmond Malinvaud," Econometric Theory, (June 2015), 31(3): 423-425
CFP 1476 Zhipeng Liao, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Automated Estimation of Vector Error Correction Models," Econometric Theory, (June 2015), 31(3): 581-646 [See CFDP 1873]
CFP 1475 Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Fernández-Val, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Quantile Regression with Censoring and Endogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, (May 2015), 186(1): 201-221 [See CFDP 1797]
CFP 1474 Cheng-Zhong Qin, Martin Shubik, "A Note on Uncertainty and Perception Concerning Measurable Utility," Economics Letters, (May 2015), 130: 83-84
CFP 1473 Peter C. B. Phillips, Ji Hyung Lee, "Limit Theory for VARs with Mixed Roots Near Unity," Econometric Reviews, (May 2015), 34(6-10): 1034-1055 [See CFDP 1845]
CFP 1472 David Dillenberger, Kareen Rozen, "History-dependent Risk Attitude," Journal of Economic Theory, (May 2015), 157: 445-477 [See CFDP 1763]
CFP 1471 Timothy B. Armstrong, "Asymptotically Exact Inference in Conditional Moment Inequality Models," Journal of Econometrics, (May 2015), 186(1): 51-65 ([Supplemental material])
CFP 1470 Costas Meghir, Renata Narita, Jean-Marc Robin, "Wages and Informality in Developing Countries," American Economic Review, (April 2015), 105(4): 1509-1546 [See CFDP 1874]
CFP 1469 Lode Li, Martin Shubik, Matthew J. Sobel, "Control of Dividends, Capital Subscriptions, and Physical Inventories," Management Science, (May 2013), 59(5): 1107-1124
CFP 1468 Eric Smith, Martin Shubik, "Endogenizing the Provision of Money: Costs of Commodity and Fiat Monies in Relation to the Value of Trade," Journal of Mathematical Economics, 47(4-5): 508-530
CFP 1467 Ioannis Karatzas, Martin Shubik, "Financial Control of a Competitive Economy with Public Goods but without Randomness," Journal Public Economic Theory, (August 2011), 13(4): 503-537 [See CFDP 1681]
CFP 1466 Martin Shubik, "Innovation and Equilibrium?," 151-168 (in Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and L. Randall Wray, eds., The Elgar Companion to Hyman Minsky, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2010, Ch. 8)
CFP 1465 Martin Shubik, Aaron Zelinsky, "Terrorism Damage Exchange Rates: Quantifying Defender Disadvantage," Defense and Security Analysis, (March 2009), 25(1): 7-20
CFP 1464 Paul Bracken, Martin Shubik, "War Gaming in the Information Age, Theory and Purpose," Naval War College Review, 54(2): 47-60
CFP 1463 Kai Nagel, Martin Shubik, Maya Paczuski, Per Bak, "Spatial Competition and Price Formation," Physica A, (December 2000), 287(3-4): 546-562
CFP 1462 Amanda E. Kowalski, "The Early Impact of the Affordable Care Act, State by State," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2: 277-355 [See CFDP 1959]
CFP 1461 Ioannis Kasparis, Elena Andreou, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Nonparametric Predictive Regression," Journal of Econometrics, (April 2015), 185(2): 468-494 [See CFDP 1878]
CFP 1460 Giuseppe Cavaliere, Peter C. B. Phillips, Stephan Smeekes, A. M. Robert Taylor, "Lag Length Selection for Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Nonstationary Volatility," Econometric Reviews, (April 2015), 34(4): 512-536 [See CFDP 1844]
CFP 1459 Joseph G. Altonji, Ching-I Huang, Christopher R. Taber, "Estimating the Cream Skimming Effect of School Choice," Journal of Political Economy, (April 2015), 123(2): 266-324
CFP 1458 Martin B. Hackmann, Jonathan T. Kolstad, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Adverse Selection and an Individual Mandate: When Theory Meets Practice," American Economic Review, (March 2015), 105(3): 1030-1066 [See CFDP 1899]
CFP 1457 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "The Limits of Price Discrimination," American Economic Review, (March 2015), 105(3): 921-957 [See CFDP 1896R3]
CFP 1456 Jinyuan Chang, Song Xi Chen, Xiaohong Chen, "High Dimensional Generalized Empirical Likelihood for Moment Restrictions with Dependent Data," Journal of Econometrics, (March 2015), 185(1): 283-304
CFP 1455 Peter C. B. Phillips, Chirok Han, "The True Limit Distributions of the Anderson-Hsiao IV Estimators in Panel Autoregression," Economics Letters, (February 2015), 127: 89-92 [See CFDP 1963]
CFP 1454 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Norming Rates and Limit Theory for Some Time-Varying Coefficient Autoregressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, (November 2014), 35(6): 592-623 [See CFDP 1916]
CFP 1453 Donald W. K. Andrews, Patrik Guggenberger, "A Conditional-Heteroskedasticity-Robust Confidence Interval for the Autoregressive Parameter," Review of Economics and Statistics, (May 2014), 96(2): 376-381 [See CFDP 1812R]
CFP 1452 Thomas Quint, Martin Shubik, "The Demonetization of Gold: Transactions and the Change in Control," Annals of Finance, (February 2015), 11(1): 109-149 [See CFDP 1814]
CFP 1451 Giovanni Maggi, Robert W. Staiger, "Optimal Design of Trade Agreements in the Presence of Renegotiation," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (February 2015), 7(1): 109-143
CFP 1450 Britta Augsburg, Ralph De Hass, Heike Harmgart, Costas Meghir, "The Impacts of Microcredit: Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, (January 2015), 7(1): 183-203
CFP 1449 Geoffroy de Clippel, Kfir Eliaz, Kareen Rozen, "Competing for Consumer Inattention," Journal of Political Economy, (December 2014), 122(6): 1203-1234 [See CFDP 1901]
CFP 1448 Hyungsik Roger Moon, Benoit Perron, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Point-optimal Panel Unit Root Tests with Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrics Journal, (October 2014), 17(3): 338-372
CFP 1447 Eric Smith, Martin Shubik, "Runs, Panics and Bubbles: Diamond-Dybvig and Morris-Shin Reconsidered," Annals of Finance, (November 2014), 10(4): 603-622 [See CFDP 1869]
CFP 1446 Gabrielle Gayer, Itzhak Gilboa, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler, "Pareto Efficiency with Different Beliefs," Journal of Legal Studies, (June 2014), 43(S2): S151-S171
CFP 1445 Dino Gerardi, Johannes Hörner, Lucas Maestri, "The Role of Commitment in Bilateral Trade," Journal of Economic Theory, (November 2014), 154: 578-603 [See CFDP 1760R]
CFP 1444 David A. Miller, Kareen Rozen, "Wasteful Sanctions, Underperformance, and Endogenous Supervision," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (November 2014), 6(4): 326-361
CFP 1443 Peter C. B. Phillips, Sainan Jin, "Testing the Martingale Hypothesis," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (January 2014), 32(4): 537-554 [See CFDP 1912]
CFP 1442 Orazio P. Attanasio, Sally M. Grantham-McGregor, Costas Meghir, Marta Rubio-Codina, Emla Fitzsimons, Camila Fernańdez, "Using the infrastructure of a conditional cash transfer program to deliver a scalable integrated early child development program," (September 2014), 349
CFP 1441 Steven T. Berry, Philip A. Haile, "Identification in Differentiated Products Markets Using Market Level Data," Econometrica, (September 2014), 82(5): 1749-1797 [See CFDP 1744R]
CFP 1440 Treb Allen, Costas Arkolakis, "Trade and the Topography of the Spatial Economy," Quarterly Journal of Economics, (August 2014), 129(3): 1085-1140
CFP 1439 Juergen Huber, Martin Shubik, Shyam Sunder, "Sufficiency of an Outside Bank and a Default Penalty to Support the Value of Fiat Money: Experimental Evidence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, (October 2014), 47: 317-337 [See CFDP 1675R2]
CFP 1438 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Homage to Halbert White," Journal of Financial Econometrics, 12(4): 618-619
CFP 1437 Xiaohong Chen, Maria Ponomareva, Elie Tamer, "Likelihood Inference in Some Finite Mixture Models," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 87-99 [See CFDP 1895]
CFP 1436 Xiaohong Chen, Zhipeng Liao, "Sieve M Inference on Irregular Parameters," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 70-86
CFP 1435 Xiaohong Chen, Norman R. Swanson, "Causality, Prediction, and Specification Analysis: Recent Advances and Future Directions," Journal of Econometrics, (September 2014), 182(1): 1-4
CFP 1434 Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson, David Schmeidler, "Economic Models as Analogies," Economic Journal, (August 2014), 124(578): F513-F533
CFP 1433 Yinxiao Huang, Xiaohong Chen, Wei Biao Wu, "Recursive Nonparametric Estimation for Time Series," IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, (February 2014), 60(2): 1301-1312
CFP 1432 John Geanakoplos, Lasse H. Pedersen, "Monitoring Leverage," 175-182 (in Markus K. Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy, eds., Risk Topography: Systemic Risk and Macro Modeling, NBER, 2014) [See CFDP 1838]
CFP 1431 John Geanakoplos, William R. Zame, "Collateral Equilibrium, I: A Basic Framework," Economic Theory, (August 2014), 56(3): 443-492 [See CFDP 1906]
CFP 1430 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Endogenous Collateral Constraints and The Leverage Cycle," Annual Review of Economics, (August 2014), 6: 771-799
CFP 1429 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Unit Roots in Life — A Graduate Student Story," Econometric Theory, (August 2014), 30(4): 719-736 [See CFDP 1913]

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.