Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1529 Drew Fudenberg, Ryota Iijima, Tomasz Strzalecki, "Stochastic Choice and Revealed Perturbed Utility," Econometrica, (November 2015), 83(6): 2371-2409
CFP 1528 Ryota Iijima, "Iterated Generalized Half-dominance and Global Game Selection," Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159: 120-136
CFP 1527 John Geanakoplos, "The Credit Surface and Monetary Policy," 143-54 (Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic Policy, Olivier Blanchard, Raghuram Rajan, Kenneth Rogoff and Lawrence H. Summers, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2016)
CFP 1526 John Geanakoplos, "The Leverage Cycle Default, and Foreclosure," 161-212 (eds., Bauducco. S; Christiano. L; Raddatz.C., Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: Challenges for Monetary Policy, Central Bank of Chile, 2014)
CFP 1525 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Inference in Near-Singular Regression," Advances in Econometrics, (July 2016), 36(1): 461-486 [See CFDP 2009]
CFP 1524 Justin R. Pierce, Peter K. Schott, "The Surprisingly Swift Decline of US Manufacturing Employment," American Economic Review, (July 2016), 106(7): 1632-62
CFP 1523 Xiaohong Chen, Qi-Man Shao, Wei Biao Wu, Lihu Xu, "Self-normalized Cramér-type moderate deviations under dependence," The Annals of Statistics, (August 2016), 44(4): 1593-1617
CFP 1522 Degui Li, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jiti Gao, "Uniform Consistency of Nonstationary Kernel-Weighted Sample Covariances for Nonparametric Regression," Econometric Theory, (June 2016), 32(3): 655-685 [See CFDP 1929]
CFP 1521 Richard O. Prum, Larry Samuelson, "Mimicry Cycles, Traps and Chains: Coevolutionary Models of Toucan and Kiskadee Mimicry," American Naturalist, (June 2016), 187(6): 753-764
CFP 1520 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "Bayes correlated equilibrium and the comparison of information structures in games," Theoretical Economics, (May 2016), 11(2): 487-522 [See CFDP 1909R3]
CFP 1519 Jonathan T. Kolstad, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Mandate-based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform," Journal of Health Economics, (May 2016), 47: 81-106 [See CFDP 1855]
CFP 1518 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "Wage Posting and Business Cycles," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 208-13
CFP 1517 Maxim Boycko, Robert J. Shiller, "Popular Attitudes toward Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 224-29
CFP 1516 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "Information Design, Bayesian Persuasion, and Bayes Correlated Equilibrium," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 586-91 [See CFDP 2027]
CFP 1515 Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression with Endogeneity and Long Memory," Econometric Theory, (April 2016), 32(2): 359-401
CFP 1514 Johannes Hörner, Larry Samuelson, "Dynamic Moral Hazard Without Commitment," International Journal of Game Theory, (March 2016), 45(1): 89-136
CFP 1513 Jan De Loecker, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Amit K. Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik, "Prices, Markups, and Trade Reform," Econometrica, (March 2016), 84(2): 445-510
CFP 1512 Trude Storelvmo, Thomas Leirvik, Ulrike Lohmann, Peter C. B. Phillips, Martin Wild, "Disentangling Greenhouse Warming and Aerosol Cooling to Reveal Earth’s Climate Sensitivity," (March 2016), 9(3): 1-6
CFP 1511 Jeremy Lise, Costas Meghir, Jean-Marc Robin, "Matching, Sorting and Wages," Review of Economic Dynamics – Volume in honor of Dale Mortensene, (January 2016), 19: 63-87 [See CFDP 1886]
CFP 1510 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Financial Innovations, Collateral, and Investment," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, (January 2016), 8(1): 242-284 [See CFDP 1903R]
CFP 1509 Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Olivier Deschenes, Michael Greenstone, Joseph S. Shapiro, "Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the 20th Century," Journal of Political Economy, (February 2016), 124(1): 105-159
CFP 1508 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Expenditure on Medical Care," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (January 2016), 34(1): 107-117
CFP 1507 Xiaohong Chen, David T. Jacho-Chavez, Oliver B. Linton, "Averaging of an Increasing Number of Moment Condition Estimators," Econometric Theory, (February 2016), 32(1): 30-70
CFP 1506 Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn, Jamin D. Speer, "Cashier or Consultant? Entry Labor Market Conditions, Field of Study, and Career Success," Journal of Labor Economics, (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S361-S401
CFP 1505 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "Did the Job Ladder Fail after the Great Recession?," Journal of Labor Economics, (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S55-S93
CFP 1504 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Meritocracy Voting: Measuring the Unmeasurable," Econometric Reviews, (January 2016), 35(1): 2-40 [See CFDP 1833]
CFP 1503 Liang Jiang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "New Methodology for Constructing Real Estate Price Indices Applied to the Singapore Residential Market," Journal of Banking and Finance, (December 2015), 61(2): S121-S131 [See CFDP 1969]
CFP 1502 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization," Econometrica, (December 2015), 83(6): 2191-2229 [See CFDP 1877R3]
CFP 1501 Nuno Limao, Giovanni Maggi, "Uncertainty and Trade Agreements," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (November 2015), 7(4): 1-42
CFP 1500 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Estimating the Tradeoff between Risk Protection and Moral Hazard with a Nonlinear Budget Set Model of Health Insurance," International Journal of Industrial Organization, (November 2015), 43: 122-135
CFP 1499 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, Jun Yu, "Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors," International Economic Review, (November 2015), 56(4): 1079-1134 [See CFDP 1915]
CFP 1498 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, Jun Yu, "Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," International Economic Review, (November 2015), 56(4): 1043-1078 [See CFDP 1914]
CFP 1497 Xiaohong Chen, Zhipeng Liao, "Sieve Semiparametric Two-Step GMM under Weak Dependence," Journal of Econometrics, (November 2015), 189(1): 163-186 [See CFDP 2012]
CFP 1496 Johannes Hörner, Satoru Takahashi, Nicolas Vieille, "Truthful Equilibria in Dynamic Bayesian Games," Econometrica, (September 2015), 83(5): 1795-1848 [See CFDP 1933R]
CFP 1495 Johannes Hörner, Massimo Morelli, Francesco Squintani, "Mediation and Peace," Review of Economic Studies, (October 2015), 82(4): 1483-1501 ([Supplemental data]) [See CFDP 1765]
CFP 1494 Yoonseok Lee, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Model Selection in the Presence of Incidental Parameters," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2015), 188(2): 474-489 [See CFDP 1919]
CFP 1493 Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, "Optimal Uniform Convergence Rates and Asymptotic Normality for Series Estimators under Weak Dependence and Weak Conditions," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2015), 188(2): 447-465 [See CFDP 1976]
CFP 1492 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Edmond Malinvaud: A Tribute to His Contributions in Econometrics," Econometrics Journal, (June 2015), 18(2): A1-A13 [See CFDP 2002]
CFP 1491 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Pitfalls and Possibilities in Predictive Regression (Halbert White Jr. Memorial JFEC Lecture)," Journal of Financial Econometrics, 13(3): 521-555 [See CFDP 2003]
CFP 1490 Dirk Bergemann, Achim Wambach, "Sequential Information Disclosure in Auctions," Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159, Part B: 1074-1095 [See CFDP 1900R]
CFP 1489 Dirk Bergemann, Philipp Strack, "Dynamic Revenue Maximization: A Continuous Time Approach," Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159, Part B: 819-853 [See CFDP 1953R3]
CFP 1488 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Pavan, "Introduction to Symposium on Dynamic Contracts and Mechanism Design," Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159, Part B: 679-701 [See CFDP 2016]
CFP 1487 Hyungsik Roger Moon, Benoit Perron, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Incidental Parameters and Dynamic Panel Modeling," 111-148 (in Badi H. Baltagi ed. Handbook of Panel Data, Oxford University Press, 2015, Ch. 4)
CFP 1486 Per Krusell, Anthony A. Smith, "Is Piketty’s ‘Second Law of Capitalism’ Fundamental?," Journal of Political Economy, (August 2015), 123(4): 725-748
CFP 1485 Lorenzo Caliendo, Ferdinando Monte, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, "The Anatomy of French Production Hierarchies," Journal of Political Economy, (August 2015), 123(4): 809-852 [See CFDP 1867]
CFP 1484 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, "Selling Cookies," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (August 2015), 7(3): 259-294 [See CFDP 1920R2]
CFP 1483 Yae In Baek, Jin Seo Cho, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Testing Linearity Using Power Transforms of Regressors," Journal of Econometrics, (July 2015), 187(1): 376-384 [See CFDP 1917]
CFP 1482 Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann, Stephen Morris, "Information and Volatility," Journal of Economic Theory, (July 2015), 158(B): 427-465 [See CFDP 1928R2]
CFP 1480 Attila Ambrus, Kareen Rozen, "Rationalising Choice with Multi-Self Models," Economic Journal, (June 2015), 125(585): 1136-1156 [See CFDP 1670]
CFP 1479 Georg Nöldeke, Larry Samuelson, "Investment and Competitive Matching," Econometrica, (May 2015), 83(3): 835-1260 [See CFDP 1946]

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.