Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1549 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "The Relative Power of Employment-to-Employment Reallocation and Unemployment Exits in Predicting Wage Growth," American Economic Review, (May 2017), 107 (5): 364-368
CFP 1548 Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua D. Angrist, Yusuke Narita, Parag A. Pathak, Roman A. Zarate, "Regression Discontinuity in Serial Dictatorship: Achievement Effects at Chicago's Exam Schools," American Economic Review, (May 2017), 107 (5): 240-245
CFP 1547 Mitsuru Igami, "Estimating the Innovator's Dilemma: Structural Analysis of Creative Destruction in the Hard Disk Drive Industry, 1981-1998," Journal of Political Economy, (May 2017), 125 (3): 798-847
CFP 1546 Hamish Low, Costas Meghir, "The Use of Structural Models in Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (May 2017), 31 (2): 33-58
CFP 1545 Robert J. Shiller, "Narrative Economics," American Economic Review, (March 2017), 107 (4): 967-1004 [See CFDP 2069]
CFP 1544 Orazio P. Attanasio, Costas Meghir, "Vocational Training for Disadvantaged Youth in Colombia: A Long-Term Follow-Up," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, (March 2017), 9 (2): 131-143
CFP 1543 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, Satoru Takahashi, "Interdependent Preferences and Strategic Distinguishability," Journal of Economic Theory, (March 2017), 169: 329-371 [See CFDP 1773R]
CFP 1542 Alessandro Bonatti, Johannes Hörner, "Career concerns with exponential learning," Theoretical Economics, (January 2017), 12(1): 425-475
CFP 1541 Xiaohong Chen, Fuchang Gaob, "A Reverse Gaussian Correlation Inequality by Adding Cones," Statistics Probability Letters, (May 2017), 123: 84-87
CFP 1540 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "First-Price Auctions with General Information Structures: Implications for Bidding and Revenue," Econometrica, (January 2017), (85)1: 107-143 [See CFDP 2018R3]
CFP 1539 Xiaohong Chen, Yin Jia Qiu, "Methods for Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regressions with Endogeneity: A Gentle Guide," Annual Review of Economics, (October 2016), 8(1): 259-290 [See CFDP 2032]
CFP 1538 Larry Samuelson, "Game theory in Economics and Beyond," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (December 2016), 30(4): 107-130
CFP 1537 John E. Roemer, Alain Trannoy, "Equality of Opportunity: Theory and Measurement," Journal of Economic Literature, (December 2016), 54(4): 1288-1332 [See CFDP 1921]
CFP 1536 Liangjun Su, Zhentao Shi, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data," Econometrica, (November 2016), 84(6): 2215-2264
CFP 1535 Joseph S. Shapiro, "Trade Costs, CO2, and the Environment," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, (November 2016), 8(4): 220-54
CFP 1534 Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum, Brent Neiman, John Romalis, "Trade and the Global Recession," American Economic Review, (November 2016), 106(11): 3401-38
CFP 1533 Mira Frick, "Monotone threshold representations," Theoretical Economics, (September 2016), 11(3): 757-772
CFP 1532 Timothy B. Armstrong, "Large Market Asymptotics for Differentiated Product Demand Estimators with Economic Models of Supply," Econometrica, (September 2016), 84(5): 1961-1980
CFP 1531 Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir, Jonathan Shaw, "Female Labor Supply, Human Capital, And Welfare Reform," Econometrica, (September 2016), 84(5): 1705-1753 [See CFDP 1892R2]
CFP 1530 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Modeling Speculative Bubbles with Diverse Investor Expectations," Research in Econometrics, (September 2016), 70(3): 375-387
CFP 1529 Drew Fudenberg, Ryota Iijima, Tomasz Strzalecki, "Stochastic Choice and Revealed Perturbed Utility," Econometrica, (November 2015), 83(6): 2371-2409
CFP 1528 Ryota Iijima, "Iterated Generalized Half-dominance and Global Game Selection," Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159: 120-136
CFP 1527 John Geanakoplos, "The Credit Surface and Monetary Policy," 143-54 (Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic Policy, Olivier Blanchard, Raghuram Rajan, Kenneth Rogoff and Lawrence H. Summers, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2016)
CFP 1526 John Geanakoplos, "The Leverage Cycle Default, and Foreclosure," 161-212 (eds., Bauducco. S; Christiano. L; Raddatz.C., Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: Challenges for Monetary Policy, Central Bank of Chile, 2014)
CFP 1525 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Inference in Near-Singular Regression," Advances in Econometrics, (July 2016), 36(1): 461-486 [See CFDP 2009]
CFP 1524 Justin R. Pierce, Peter K. Schott, "The Surprisingly Swift Decline of US Manufacturing Employment," American Economic Review, (July 2016), 106(7): 1632-62
CFP 1523 Xiaohong Chen, Qi-Man Shao, Wei Biao Wu, Lihu Xu, "Self-normalized Cramér-type moderate deviations under dependence," The Annals of Statistics, (August 2016), 44(4): 1593-1617
CFP 1522 Degui Li, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jiti Gao, "Uniform Consistency of Nonstationary Kernel-Weighted Sample Covariances for Nonparametric Regression," Econometric Theory, (June 2016), 32(3): 655-685 [See CFDP 1929]
CFP 1521 Richard O. Prum, Larry Samuelson, "Mimicry Cycles, Traps and Chains: Coevolutionary Models of Toucan and Kiskadee Mimicry," American Naturalist, (June 2016), 187(6): 753-764
CFP 1520 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "Bayes correlated equilibrium and the comparison of information structures in games," Theoretical Economics, (May 2016), 11(2): 487-522 [See CFDP 1909R3]
CFP 1519 Jonathan T. Kolstad, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Mandate-based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform," Journal of Health Economics, (May 2016), 47: 81-106 [See CFDP 1855]
CFP 1518 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "Wage Posting and Business Cycles," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 208-13
CFP 1517 Maxim Boycko, Robert J. Shiller, "Popular Attitudes toward Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 224-29
CFP 1516 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "Information Design, Bayesian Persuasion, and Bayes Correlated Equilibrium," American Economic Review, (May 2016), 106(5): 586-91 [See CFDP 2027]
CFP 1515 Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression with Endogeneity and Long Memory," Econometric Theory, (April 2016), 32(2): 359-401
CFP 1514 Johannes Hörner, Larry Samuelson, "Dynamic Moral Hazard Without Commitment," International Journal of Game Theory, (March 2016), 45(1): 89-136
CFP 1513 Jan De Loecker, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Amit K. Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik, "Prices, Markups, and Trade Reform," Econometrica, (March 2016), 84(2): 445-510
CFP 1512 Trude Storelvmo, Thomas Leirvik, Ulrike Lohmann, Peter C. B. Phillips, Martin Wild, "Disentangling Greenhouse Warming and Aerosol Cooling to Reveal Earth’s Climate Sensitivity," (March 2016), 9(3): 1-6
CFP 1511 Jeremy Lise, Costas Meghir, Jean-Marc Robin, "Matching, Sorting and Wages," Review of Economic Dynamics – Volume in honor of Dale Mortensene, (January 2016), 19: 63-87 [See CFDP 1886]
CFP 1510 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Financial Innovations, Collateral, and Investment," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, (January 2016), 8(1): 242-284 [See CFDP 1903R]
CFP 1509 Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Olivier Deschenes, Michael Greenstone, Joseph S. Shapiro, "Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the 20th Century," Journal of Political Economy, (February 2016), 124(1): 105-159
CFP 1508 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Expenditure on Medical Care," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (January 2016), 34(1): 107-117
CFP 1507 Xiaohong Chen, David T. Jacho-Chavez, Oliver B. Linton, "Averaging of an Increasing Number of Moment Condition Estimators," Econometric Theory, (February 2016), 32(1): 30-70
CFP 1506 Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn, Jamin D. Speer, "Cashier or Consultant? Entry Labor Market Conditions, Field of Study, and Career Success," Journal of Labor Economics, (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S361-S401
CFP 1505 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "Did the Job Ladder Fail after the Great Recession?," Journal of Labor Economics, (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S55-S93
CFP 1504 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Meritocracy Voting: Measuring the Unmeasurable," Econometric Reviews, (January 2016), 35(1): 2-40 [See CFDP 1833]
CFP 1503 Liang Jiang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "New Methodology for Constructing Real Estate Price Indices Applied to the Singapore Residential Market," Journal of Banking and Finance, (December 2015), 61(2): S121-S131 [See CFDP 1969]
CFP 1502 Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos, "Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization," Econometrica, (December 2015), 83(6): 2191-2229 [See CFDP 1877R3]
CFP 1501 Nuno Limao, Giovanni Maggi, "Uncertainty and Trade Agreements," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (November 2015), 7(4): 1-42
CFP 1500 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Estimating the Tradeoff between Risk Protection and Moral Hazard with a Nonlinear Budget Set Model of Health Insurance," International Journal of Industrial Organization, (November 2015), 43: 122-135

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.