Published Papers (Journal Reprints)

CFP 1649 Cecilia Machado, Azeem M. Shaikh, Edward Vytlacil, "Instrumental Variables and the Sign of the Average Treatment Effect," Journal of Econometrics, (October 2019), 212(2): 522-555
CFP 1648 Arielle Bernhardt, Erica Field, Rohini Pande, Natalia Rigol, "Household Matters: Revisiting the Returns to Capital among Female Microentrepreneurs," American Economic Review: Insights, (September 2019), 1(2): 141-60
CFP 1647 Peter C. B. Phillips, Shuping Shi, "Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, (June 2019), 1-26
CFP 1646 Wuyi Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Liangjun Su, "The Heterogeneous Effects of the Minimum Wage on Employment Across States," Economics Letters, (January 2019), 174: 179-185
CFP 1645 Peter C. B. Phillips, Chirok Han, "Dynamic Panel GMM Using R," Conceptual Econometrics Using R, (January 2019), 41(1): 119-144 (C.R. Rao, Hrishikesh Vinod)
CFP 1644 Wuyi Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Liangjun Su, "Homogeneity Pursuit in Panel Data Models: Theory and Applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, (June 2018), 33(6): 797-815 [See CFDP 2063]
CFP 1643 Hichem Ben-El-Mechaiekh, Robert W. Dimand, "Louis Bachelier's 1938 Monograph on the Calculus of Speculation : Mathematical Finance and Randomness of Asset Prices in Bachelier's Later Work," Revue d'Histoire des Mathématiques, (2018), (August 2019), 24(1): 41-106
CFP 1642 Steven T. Berry, Martin Gaynor, Fiona Scott Morton, "Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (August 2019), 33(3): 44-68
CFP 1641 Ray C. Fair, "Information Content of DSGE Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, (August 2019), 38(6): 519-524
CFP 1640 Ray C. Fair, Christopher Champa, "Estimated Costs of Contact in College and High School Male Sports," Journal of Sports Economics, (June 2019), 20(5): 690-717
CFP 1639 Ray C. Fair, "Explaining the Slow U.S. Recovery: 2010–2017," Business Economics, (August 2018), 53(4): 184–194 [See CFDP 2124]
CFP 1638 Ray C. Fair, "Wealth Effects on World Private Financial Saving," International Economics, (May 2017), Vol. 149: 15-26
CFP 1637 Ray C. Fair, "Household Wealth and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008–2013," Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, (March 2017), 49(2-3): 495-523
CFP 1636 Chen Cheng, Christopher Li, "Laboratories of Democracy: Policy Experimentation under Decentralization," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (August 2019), 11(3): 125-154
CFP 1635 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, "Markets for Information: An Introduction," Annual Review of Economics, (August 2019), 11(2019): 85-107 [See CFDP 2142]
CFP 1634 Dirk Bergemann, Juuso Välimäki, "Dynamic Mechanism Design: An Introduction," Journal of Economic Literature, (June 2019), 57(2): 235-274 [See CFDP 2102], [See CFDP 2102R]
CFP 1633 William D. Nordhaus, "Can We Control Carbon Dioxide? (From 1975)," American Economic Review, (June 2019), 109(6): 2015-2035
CFP 1632 William D. Nordhaus, "Climate Change: The Ultimate Challenge for Economics," American Economic Review, (June 2019), 109(6): 1991-2014
CFP 1631 Lorenzo Caliendo, Maximiliano Dvorkin, Fernando Parro, "Trade and Labor Market Dynamics: General Equilibrium Analysis of the China Trade Shock," Econometrica, (May 2019), 87(3): 741-835
CFP 1630 Donald W. K. Andrews, Vadim Marmer, Zhengfei Yu, "On Optimal Inference In The Linear IV Model," Quantitative Economics, (May 2019), 10(2): 457–485 [See CFDP 2073], [See CFDP 2073R]
CFP 1629 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Revenue Guarantee Equivalence," American Economic Review, (May 2019), 109(5): 1911-1929 [See CFDP 2133]
CFP 1628 Arthur Robson, Larry Samuelson, "Evolved attitudes to idiosyncratic and aggregate risk in age-structured populations," Journal of Economic Theory, (April 2019), 181: 44-81
CFP 1627 Yubo Tao, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "Random coefficient continuous systems: Testing for extreme sample path behavior," Journal of Econometrics, (April 2019), 209(2): 208-237 [See CFDP 2114]
CFP 1626 Jianning Kong, Peter C. B. Phillips, Donggyu Sul, "Weak σ- Convergence: Theory and Applications," Journal of Econometrics, (April 2019), 209(2): 185-207 [See CFDP 2072]
CFP 1625 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, (March 2019), 57(1): 44-95 [See CFDP 2075R3]
CFP 1624 Robert W. Dimand, Hichem Ben-El-Mechaiekh, "General equilibrium reaches North America: The hydraulic simulation model in Irving Fisher's Mathematical Investigations in the Theory of Value and Prices (1891)," Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, (October 2012), 37(1,2): 97-118
CFP 1623 David F. Hendry, Peter C. B. Phillips, "John Denis Sargan (1924–1996)," The Palgrave Companion to LSE Economics, (January 2019), 667-695
CFP 1622 Brian Adams, Kevin R. Williams, "Zone Pricing in Retail Oligopoly," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, (February 2019), 11(1): 124-156 [See CFDP 2079R2]
CFP 1621 Mohit Agrawal, Joseph G. Altonji, Richard K. Mansfield, "Quantifying Family, School, and Location Effects in the Presence of Complementarities and Sorting," Journal of Labor Economics, (January 2019), 37(51): S11-S83
CFP 1620 Robert W. Dimand, "James Tobin and the Transformation of the IS-LM Model," History of Political Economy, (December 2004), 36(s1): 165-189
CFP 1619 Robert W. Dimand, Steven N. Durlauf, "James Tobin and Growth Theory: Financial Factors and Long-Run Growth," History of Political Economy, (December 2009), 41(s1): 182-199
CFP 1618 Robert W. Dimand, "Tobin as an Econometrician," History of Political Economy, (December 2011), 43(s1): 166-187
CFP 1617 Xiaohong Chen, Oliver B. Linton, Stefan Schneeberger, Yanping Yi, "Semiparametric Estimation of the Bid–ask Spread in Extended Roll Models," Journal of Econometrics, (January 2019), 208(1): 160-178 [See CFDP 2033]
CFP 1616 Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, Elie Tamer, "Monte Carlo Confidence Sets for Identified Sets," Econometrica, (November 2018), 86(8): 1965-2018 [See CFDP 2037R2]
CFP 1615 Yuichi Kitamura, Jörg Stoye, "Nonparametric Analysis of Random Utility Models," Econometrica, (November 2018), 86(6): 1883-1909 [See CFDP 1902]
CFP 1614 Esther Duflo, Michael Greenstone, Rohini Pande, Nicholas Ryan, "The Value of Regulatory Discretion: Estimates from Environmental Inspections in India," Econometrica, (November 2018), 86(6): 2123-2160
CFP 1613 Jin Seo Cho, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Pythagorean Generalization of Testing the Equality of Two Symmetric Positive Definite Matrices," Journal of Econometrics, (January 2018), 202(1): 45-56
CFP 1612 Ping Yu, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Threshold Regression with Endogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, (March 2018), 203(1): 50-68 [See CFDP 1966]
CFP 1611 Shuping Shi, Peter C. B. Phillips, Stan Hurn, "Change Detection and the Causal Impact of the Yield Curve," Journal of Time Series Analysis, (November 2018), 39(6): 966-987 [See CFDP 2058]
CFP 1610 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "IV and GMM Inference in Endogenous Stochastic Unit Root Models," Econometric Theory, (October 2018), 34(5): 1065-1100 [See CFDP 2061]
CFP 1609 Ping Yu, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Threshold Regression Asymptotics: From the Compound Poisson Process to Two-sided Brownian motion," Economics Letters, (November 2018), 172: 123-126
CFP 1608 Xiaohong Chen, Andres Santos, "Overidentification in Regular Models," Econometrica, (October 2018), 86(5): 1771-1817 [See CFDP 1999R], [See CFDP 1999]
CFP 1607 Jin Seo Cho, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Sequentially Testing Polynomial Model Hypotheses Using Power Transforms of Regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, (August 2017), 33(1): 141-159 [See CFDP 2060]
CFP 1606 Ray C. Fair, Edward H. Kaplan, "Estimating Aging Effects in Running Events," Review of Economics and Statistics, (October 2018), 100(4): 1-8 [See CFDP 2100]
CFP 1605 James J. Heckman, John Eric Humphries, Gregory Veramendi, "Returns to Education: The Causal Effects of Education on Earnings, Health, and Smoking," Journal of Political Economy, (October 2018), 126(S1): S197-S246
CFP 1604 Pierre-André Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir, "The Marriage Market, Labor Supply, and Education Choice," Journal of Political Economy, (October 2018), 126(S1): S26-S72 [See CFDP 1994R]
CFP 1603 Joaquin Blaum, Claire Lelarge, Michael Peters, "The Gains from Input Trade with Heterogeneous Importers," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, (October 2018), 10(4): 77-127
CFP 1602 Joseph G. Altonji, Richard K. Mansfield, "Estimating Group Effects Using Averages of Observables to Control for Sorting on Unobservables: School and Neighborhood Effects," American Economic Review, (October 2018), 108(10): 2902-2946
CFP 1601 Ilyana Kuziemko, Ebonya Washington, "Why Did the Democrats Lose the South? Bringing New Data to an Old Debate," American Economic Review, (October 2018), 108(10): 2830-2867
CFP 1600 Anna Bykhovskaya, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Boundary Limit Theory for Functional Local to Unity Regression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, (July 2018), 39(4): 523-562 [See CFDP 2108]

*This paper series also includes Cowles Commission papers.