Discussion Papers

CFDP 2146R Timothy B. Armstrong, "Adaptation Bounds for Confidence Bands under Self-Similarity," (October 2018, Revised July 2019) [33pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2146)
CFDP 2146 Timothy B. Armstrong, "Adaptation Bounds for Confidence Bands under Self-Similarity," (October 2018) [31pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2146R)
CFDP 2145 Orazio P. Attanasio, Helen Baker-Henningham, Raquel Bernal, Costas Meghir, Diana Pineda, Marta Rubio-Codina, "Early Stimulation and Nutrition: The Impacts of a Scalable Intervention," (August 2018) [47pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2144 Soheil Ghili, Matthew Schmitt, "Risk Aversion and Double Marginalization," (August 2018) [46pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2143 Andrés González Lira, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Enforcing Regulation under Illicit Adaptation," (August 2018) [63pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2142 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, "Markets for Information: An Introduction," (August 2018) [31pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2141 Philip A. Haile, Yuichi Kitamura, "Unobserved Heterogeneity in Auctions," (August 2018) [29pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2140 Ray C. Fair, "Information Content of DSGE Forecasts," (August 2018) [17pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2139 Lori Beaman, Ariel BenYishay, Jeremy Magruder, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Can Network Theory-based Targeting Increase Technology Adoption?," (August 2018) [61pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2138 Martin Shubik, "Apologia Pro Vita Sua: The Vanishing of the White Whale in the Mists," (July 2018) [7pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2137R Giovanni Compiani, Philip A. Haile, Marcelo Sant'Anna, "Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions," (June 2018, Revised June 2019) [99pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2137 Giovanni Compiani, Philip A. Haile, Marcelo Sant'Anna, "Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions," (June 2018) [80pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2136R2 James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Intertemporal Price Discrimination in Sequential Quantity-Price Games," (June 2018, Revised September 2018, , Revised March 2019) [49pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2136), (See: CFDP 2136R)
CFDP 2136R James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Oligopoly Price Discrimination: The Role of Inventory Controls," (June 2018, Revised September 2018) [37pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2136), (See: CFDP 2136R2)
CFDP 2136 James D. Dana Jr., Kevin R. Williams, "Oligopoly Price Discrimination: The Role of Inventory Controls," (June 2018) [30pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2136R), (See: CFDP 2136R2)
CFDP 2135 Amanda E. Kowalski, "Extrapolation using Selection and Moral Hazard Heterogeneity from within the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment," (June 2018) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2134 Shinichi Hirota, Juergen Huber, Thomas Stöckl, Shyam Sunder, "Speculation and Price Indeterminacy in Financial Markets: An Experimental Study," (June 2018) [73pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2133 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "Revenue Guarantee Equivalence," (May 2018) [20pp, Abstract] [See CFP1629]
CFDP 2132 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "First-Price Auctions with General Information Structures: A Short Introduction," (May 2018) [11pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2131 Farzad Sabzikar, Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Asymptotic Theory for Near Integrated Process Driven by Tempered Linear Process," (May 2018) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2130 William D. Nordhaus, "Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet," (April 2018) [41pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2129R Florian Ederer, Frédéric Schneider, "The Persistent Power of Promises," (April 2018, Revised May 2019) [27pp, Abstract] (See: CFDP 2129)
CFDP 2129 Florian Ederer, Frédéric Schneider, "The Persistent Power of Promises," (April 2018) [25pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2128R Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Dispersed Behavior and Perceptions in Assortative Societies," (April 2018, Revised March 2019) [46pp, Abstract] [Supplemental material ,22 pp]
CFDP 2128 Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Dispersed Behavior and Perceptions in Assortative Societies," (April 2018) [67pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2127 Yusuke Narita, "Toward an Ethical Experiment," (April 2018) [102pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2126 José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, Álvaro Parra, "Entry Games under Private Information," (April 2018) [44pp, Abstract] [Supplemental material ,4 pp]
CFDP 2125 John E. Roemer, "A theory of cooperation in games with an application to market socialism," (March 2018) [36pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2124 Ray C. Fair, "Explaining the Slow U.S.Recovery: 2010–2017," (March 2018) [24pp, Abstract] [See CFP1639]
CFDP 2123 Pradeep Dubey, "Intuitive Solutions in Game Representations: The Shapley Value Revisited," (March 2018) [9pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2122 Minkyung Kim, K. Sudhir, Kosuke Uetake, Rodrigo Canales, "When Salespeople Manage Customer Relationships: Multidimensional Incentives and Private Information," (March 2018) [72pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2121 Hamish Low, Costas Meghir, Luigi Pistaferri, Alessandra Voena, "Marriage, Labor Supply and the Dynamics of the Social Safety Net," (February 2018) [71pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2120 Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Fernández-Val, Sukjin Han, Amanda E. Kowalski, "Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimation with Stata," (February 2018) [10pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2119 Yuhta Ishii, Aniko Öry (Oery), Adrien Vigier, "Competing for Talent," (February 2018) [51pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2118R Martin Shubik, "The Paradox of Competition: Power, Markets, and Money - Who Gets What, When, How?," (January 2018, Revised March 2018) [162pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2118 Martin Shubik, "Who Gets What, When, How? Power, Organization, Markets, Money and the Allocation of Resources," (January 2018) [142pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2117R Eva Lyubich, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker, "Regulating Mismeasured Pollution: Implications of Firm Heterogeneity for Environmental Policy," (January 2018, Revised March 2018) [18pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2117 Eva Lyubich, Joseph S. Shapiro, Reed Walker, "Regulating Mismeasured Pollution: Implications of Firm Heterogeneity for Environmental Policy," (January 2018) [18pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2116 Robert J. Shiller, Rafal M. Wojakowski, M. Shahid Ebrahim, Mark B. Shackleton, "Continuous Workout Mortgages: Efficient Pricing and Systemic Implications," (December 2017) [64pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2115R Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, "Finite-Sample Optimal Estimation and Inference on Average Treatment Effects Under Unconfoundedness," (December 2017, Revised December 2018) [63pp, Abstract] [Supplemental material ,8 pp]
CFDP 2115 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, "Finite-Sample Optimal Estimation and Inference on Average Treatment Effects Under Unconfoundedness," (December 2017) [44pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2114 Yubo Tao, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu, "Random Coefficient Continuous Systems: Testing for Extreme Sample Path Behaviour," (December 2017) [55pp, Abstract] [See CFP1627]
CFDP 2113 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Hybrid Stochastic Local Unit Roots," (December 2017) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2112 Michèle Müller-Itten, Aniko Öry (Oery), "Mentoring and the Dynamics of Affirmative Action," (November 2017) [42pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2111 Qiying Wang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Ioannis Kasparis, "Latent Variable Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," (September 2017) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2110 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk," (September 2017) [30pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2109 Degui Li, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jiti Gao, "Kernel-Based Inference In Time-Varying Coefficient Cointegrating Regression," (September 2017) [46pp, Abstract] [Supplemental material ,12 pp]
CFDP 2108 Anna Bykhovskaya, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Boundary Limit Theory for Functional Local to Unity Regression," (September 2017) [45pp, Abstract] [See CFP1600]
CFDP 2107 Anna Bykhovskaya, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Point Optimal Testing with Roots That Are Functionally Local to Unity," (September 2017) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2106 Zack Cooper, Amanda E. Kowalski, Eleanor Neff Powell, Jennifer Wu, "Politics, Hospital Behavior, and Health Care Spending," (September 2017) [60pp, Abstract]