Discussion Papers

CFDP 2302 K. Sudhir, Seung Yoon Lee, Subroto Roy, "Lookalike Targeting on Others' Journeys: Brand Versus Performance Marketing," (September 2021) [47pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2301 Steven T. Berry, Philip A. Haile, "Foundations of Demand Estimation," (September 2021) [66pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2300 Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann, Stephen Morris, Constantine Sorokin, Eyal Winter, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," (August 2021) [24pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2299 Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Learning Efficiency of Multi-Agent Information Structures," (August 2021) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2298 Ian Ball, José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, "Experimental Persuasion," (August 2021) [23pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2297 Dirk Bergemann, Edmund M. Yeh, Jinkun Zhang, "Nonlinear Pricing with Finite Information," (August 2021) [42pp, Abstract] , (See: CFP1742)
CFDP 2296 Dirk Bergemann, Marco Ottaviani, "Information Markets and Nonmarkets," (August 2021) [105pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2295 Eduardo Dávila, Ansgar Walther, "Corrective Regulation with Imperfect Instruments," (August 2021) [68pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2294 Nicholas Ryan, "Holding Up Green Energy," (August 2021) [76pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2293 Orazio P. Attanasio, Lina Cardona-Sosa, Carlos Medina, Costas Meghir, Christian Posso, "Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia," (July 2021) [17pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2292 Xiaohong Chen, Timothy M. Christensen, Sid Kankanala, "Adaptive Estimation and Uniform Confidence Bands for Nonparametric IV," (July 2021) [89pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2291 Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann, Stephen Morris, "Selling Impressions: Efficiency vs. Competition," (July 2021) [36pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2290 Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti, Andreas Haupt, Alex Smolin, "The Optimality of Upgrade Pricing," (July 2021) [27pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2289 Minsu Chang, Xiaohong Chen, Frank Schorfheide, "Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations," (June 2021) [71pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2288 Liang Jiang, Peter C. B. Phillips, Yubo Tao, Yichong Zhang, "Regression-Adjusted Estimation of Quantile Treatment Effects under Covariate-Adaptive Randomizations," (May 2021) [44pp, Abstract][Supplemental material ,64 pp]
CFDP 2287 Ray C. Fair, "What Do Price Equations Say About Future Inflation?," (May 2021) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2286 William D. Nordhaus, "Climate Club Futures: On the Effectiveness of Future Climate Clubs," (May 2021) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2285 Dirk Bergemann, Paul Duetting, Renato Paes Leme, Song Zuo, "Calibrated Click-Through Auctions: An Information Design Approach," (May 2021) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2284R Jason Abaluck, Laura H Kwong, Ashley Styczynski, Md. Ashraful Haque, Alamgir Kabir, Ellen Bates-Jeffries, Emily Crawford, Jade Benjamin-Chung, Shabib Raihan, Shadman Rahman, Salim Benhachmi, Neeti Zaman, Peter J. Winch, Md. Maqsud Hossain, Hasan Mahmud Reza, Abdullah All Jaber, Shawkee Gulshan Momen, Faika Laz Bani, Aura Rahman, Tahrima Saiha Huq, Stephen P. Luby, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "The Impact of Community Masking on COVID-19: A Cluster Randomized Trial in Bangladesh," (April 2021, Revised August 2021, updated May 2021) [95pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2284)
CFDP 2284 Jason Abaluck, Laura H Kwong, Ashley Styczynski, Md. Ashraful Haque, Alamgir Kabir, Ellen Bates-Jeffries, Emily Crawford, Jade Benjamin-Chung, Salim Benhachmi, Shabib Raihan, Shadman Rahman, Neeti Zaman, Peter J. Winch, Md. Maqsud Hossain, Hasan Mahmud Reza, Stephen P. Luby, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Normalizing Community Mask-Wearing: A Cluster Randomized Trial in Bangladesh," (April 2021, updated May 2021) [55pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2284R)
CFDP 2283 Yusuke Narita, Kohei Yata, "Algorithm is Experiment: Machine Learning, Market Design, and Policy Eligibility Rules," (April 2021) [97pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2282 Christopher Foote, Tyler Hounshell, William D. Nordhaus, Douglas Rivers, Pamela Torola, "Measuring the U.S. Employment Situation Using Online Panels: The Yale Labor Survey," (April 2021) [69pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2281R Yusuke Narita, Ayumi Sudo, "Curse of Democracy: Evidence from the 21st Century," (April 2021, Revised August 2021) [50pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2281)
CFDP 2281 Yusuke Narita, Ayumi Sudo, "Curse of Democracy: Evidence from 2020," (April 2021) [32pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2280 Judith A. Chevalier, Jason L. Schwartz, Yihua Su, Kevin R. Williams, "Distributional Impacts of Retail Vaccine Availability," (April 2021, updated May 2021, updated July 2021) [32pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2279R Ray C. Fair, "Retrospective Voting Versus Risk-Aversion Voting: A Comment on Pástor and Veronesi (2020)," (March 2021, Revised July 2021) [12pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2279 Ray C. Fair, "Retrospective Voting Versus Risk-Aversion Voting," (March 2021) [11pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2278 John E. Roemer, Joaquim Silvestre, "Kant and Lindahl," (March 2021) [39pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2277 Ray C. Fair, "Are Stock Returns and Output Growth Higher Under Democrats?," (February 2021) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2276 Cormac O'Dea, David Sturrock, "Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities," (February 2021) [38pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2275 Johann Caro-Burnett, Judith A. Chevalier, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, "Is Habit a Powerful Policy Instrument to Induce Prosocial Behavioral Change?," (February 2021) [36pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2274R Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Welfare Comparisons for Biased Learning," (February 2021, Revised March 2021) [52pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2274)
CFDP 2274 Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima, Yuhta Ishii, "Welfare Comparisons for Biased Learning," (February 2021) [43pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2274R)
CFDP 2273 Soheil Ghili, "A Characterization for Optimal Bundling of Products with Inter-dependent Values," (February 2021, updated February 2021) [28pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2272 Florian Ederer, Weicheng Min, "Bayesian Persuasion with Lie Detection," (January 2021) [26pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2271 Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Costas Meghir, Gabriel Ulyssea, "Trade and Informality in the Presence of Labor Market Frictions and Regulations," (January 2021) [108pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2270 Jidong Zhou, "Mixed Bundling in Oligopoly Markets," (January 2021) [40pp, Abstract] , (See: CFP1724)
CFDP 2269 Mark Armstrong, Jidong Zhou, "Consumer Information and the Limits to Competition," (January 2021) [58pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2268 María Sáez Martí, "Take a Break!...Or More.," (January 2021) [13pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2267 Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti, Fabrizio Zilibotti, "When the Great Equalizer Shuts Down: Schools, Peers, and Parents in Pandemic Time," (December 2020) [51pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2266 Fei Li, Jidong Zhou, "A Model of Crisis Management," (December 2020) [40pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2265 Rodrigo Adão, Costas Arkolakis, Sharat Ganapati, "Aggregate Implications of Firm Heterogeneity: A Nonparametric Analysis of Monopolistic Competition Trade Models," (November 2020) [99pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2264 Jidong Zhou, "Improved Information in Search Markets," (November 2020) [26pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2263 Andrew Rhodes, Makoto Watanabe, Jidong Zhou, "Multiproduct Intermediaries," (November 2020) [56pp, Abstract] , (See: CFP1713)
CFDP 2262 Zhiguo He, Jing Huang, Jidong Zhou, "Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data," (November 2020) [59pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2261 Alison Andrew, Orazio P. Attanasio, Britta Augsburg, Jere Behrman, Monimalika Day, Pamela Jervis, Costas Meghir, Angus Phimister, "Mothers’ Social Networks and Socioeconomic Gradients of Isolation," (November 2020) [43pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2260R Ray C. Fair, "Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions," (October 2020, Revised January 2021) [44pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2260)
CFDP 2260 Ray C. Fair, "Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions," (October 2020) [42pp, Abstract], (See: CFDP 2260R)
CFDP 2259 Todd Henry, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Forecasting Economic Activity Using the Yield Curve: Quasi-Real-Time Applications for New Zealand, Australia and the US," (October 2020) [20pp, Abstract]
CFDP 2258 Kai Hao Yang, "Selling Consumer Data for Profit: Optimal Market-Segmentation Design and its Consequences," (October 2020) [90pp, Abstract][Supplemental material ,39 pp]