CFDP 831

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update

Author(s): 

Publication Date: April 1987

Pages: 14

Abstract: 

In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. The purpose of this paper is to update this equation through the 1984 election and then use it to predict the 1988 election.

Keywords: 

Presidential election, Votes, Inflation, Gross national product growth, Unemployment, Politics, Political business cycle, President

JEL Classification Codes: 025, 212, 921, 131

See CFP: 735