Papers (Reprints)

CFP 1556 Isaiah Andrews, Timothy B. Armstrong, "Unbiased Instrumental Variables Estimation Under Known First‐Stage Sign," Quantitative Economics, (July 2017), 8(2): pp. 479–503 [See CFDP 1984R5]
CFP 1555 Peter C. B. Phillips, "Edmond Malinvaud – an Economist's Econometrician," Annals of Economics and Statistics, (June 2017), 125/126: pp. 135-151
CFP 1554 Stephen Morris, Dirk Bergemann, "Belief-free rationalizability and informational robustness," Games and Economic Behavior, (July 2017), 104: pp. 744–759 [See CFDP 2066]
CFP 1553 Ji Hyung Lee, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Asset pricing with financial bubble risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, (September 2016), 38, Part B: pp. 590-622
CFP 1552 Offer Lieberman, Peter C. B. Phillips, "A multivariate stochastic unit root model with an application to derivative pricing," Journal of Econometrics, (January 2017), 196(1): pp. 99-110
CFP 1551 Michael D. König, Dominic Rohner, Mathias Thoenig, Fabrizio Zilibotti, "Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence From the Great War of Africa," Econometrica, (July 2017), 85(4): pp. 1093–1132
CFP 1550 Ryota Iijima, Yuichiro Kamada, "Social Distance and Network Structures," Theoretical Economics, (June 2017), 12 (2): pp. 655–689
CFP 1549 Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay, "The Relative Power of Employment-to-Employment Reallocation and Unemployment Exits in Predicting Wage Growth," American Economic Review, (May 2017), 107 (5): pp. 364-368
CFP 1548 Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Joshua D. Angris, Yusuke Narita, Parag A. Pathak, Roman A. Zarate, "Regression Discontinuity in Serial Dictatorship: Achievement Effects at Chicago's Exam Schools," American Economic Review, (May 2017), 107 (5): pp. 240-245
CFP 1547 Igami, Mitsuru, "Estimating the Innovator's Dilemma: Structural Analysis of Creative Destruction in the Hard Disk Drive Industry, 1981-1998," Journal of Political Economy, (May 2017), 125 (3): pp. 798-847
CFP 1546 Hamish Low, Costas Meghir, "The Use of Structural Models in Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (May 2017), 31 (2): pp. 33-58
CFP 1545 Robert J. Shiller, "Narrative Economics," American Economic Review, (March 2017), 107 (4): pp. 967-1004 [See CFDP 2069]
CFP 1544 Orazio P. Attanasio, Costas Meghir, "Vocational Training for Disadvantaged Youth in Colombia: A Long-Term Follow-Up," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, (March 2017), 9 (2): pp. 131-143
CFP 1543 Dirk Bergemann, Stephen Morris, Satoru Takahashi, "Interdependent Preferences and Strategic Distinguishability," Journal of Economic Theory, (March 2017), 169: pp. 329-371 [See CFDP 1773R]
CFP 1542 Alessandro Bonatti, Johannes Horner, "Career concerns with exponential learning," Theoretical Economics, (January 2017), 12(1): pp. 425-475
CFP 1541 Xiaohong Chen, Fuchang Gaob, "A Reverse Gaussian Correlation Inequality by Adding Cones," Statistics & Probability Letters, (May 2017), 123: pp. 84-87
CFP 1540 Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks, Stephen Morris, "First-Price Auctions with General Information Structures: Implications for Bidding and Revenue," Econometrica, (January 2017), (85)1: pp. 107-143 [See CFDP 2018R3]
CFP 1539 Xiaohong Chen, Yin Jia Qiu, "Methods for Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regressions with Endogeneity: A Gentle Guide," Annual Review of Economics, (October 2016), 8(1): pp. 259-290 [See CFDP 2032]
CFP 1538 Larry Samuelson, "Game theory in Economics and Beyond," Journal of Economic Perspectives, (December 2016), 30(4): pp. 107-130
CFP 1537 John E. Roemer, Alain Trannoy, "Equality of Opportunity: Theory and Measurement," Journal of Economic Literature, (December 2016), 54(4): pp. 1288-1332 [See CFDP 1921]
CFP 1536 Liangjun Su, Zhentao Shi, Peter C. B. Phillips, "Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data," Econometrica, (November 2016), 84(6): pp. 2215-2264
CFP 1535 Joseph S. Shapiro, "Trade Costs, CO2, and the Environment," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, (November 2016), 8(4): pp. 220-54

CFP 1536

Liangjun Su, Zhentao Shi, Peter C. B. Phillips, “Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data,” Econometrica​, (November 2016), 84(6): p. 2215-2264 [See CFDP 1965]

CFP 1535

Joseph S. Shapiro, “Trade Costs, CO2, and the Environment,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, (November 2016), 8(4): 220-54

CFP 1534

Jonathan Eaton, Samuel Kortum, Brent Neiman, John Romalis, “Trade and the Global Recession,” American Economic Review, (November 2016), 106(11): 3401-38

CFP 1533

Mira Frick, “Monotone threshold representations,” Theoretical Economics, (September 2016), 11(3): 757–772

CFP 1532

Timothy B. Armstrong, ”Large Market Asymptotics for Differentiated Product Demand Estimators with Economic Models of Supply,” Econometrica, (September 2016), 84(5):1961–1980

CFP 1531

Richard Blundell, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir, And Jonathan Shaw, “Female Labor Supply, Human Capital, And Welfare Reform,” Econometrica, (September 2016), 84(5):1705–1753 [See CFDP 1892R2]

CFP 1530

Peter C. B. Phillips, “Modeling Speculative Bubbles with Diverse Investor Expectations,” Research in Econometrics (September 2016), 70(3): 375-387

CFP 1529

Ryota Iijima, “Stochastic Choice and Revealed Perturbed Utility,” Econometrica, (November 2015), 83(6): 2371–2409

CFP 1528

Ryota Iijima, “Iterated Generalized Half-dominance and Global Game Selection,” Journal of Economic Theory, (September 2015), 159: 120-136

CFP 1527

John Geanakoplos The Credit Surface and Monetary Policy,” Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic Policy, Olivier Blanchard, Raghuram Rajan, Kenneth Rogoff and Lawrence H. Summers, Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2016, pp. 143-54

CFP 1526

John Geanakoplos, “The Leverage Cycle Default, and Foreclosure,” eds., Bauducco. S; Christiano. L; Raddatz.C., Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: Challenges for Monetary Policy, Central Bank of Chile, 2014, pp. 161-212

CFP 1525

Peter C. B. Phillips, “Inference in Near-Singular Regression,” Advances in Econometrics (July 2016), 36(1): 461-486 [see CFDP 2009]

CFP 1524

Justin R. Pierce and Peter K. Schott, ”The Surprisingly Swift Decline of US Manufacturing Employment,” American Economic Review (July 2016), 106(7): 1632-62

CFP 1523

Xiaohong Chen, Qi-Man Shao, Wei Biao Wu, and Lihu Xu, “Self-normalized Cramér-type moderate deviations under dependence,” The Annals of Statistics, (August 2016), 44(4): 1593-1617

CFP 1522

Degui Li, Peter C. B. Phillips, and Jiti Gao, “Uniform Consistency of Nonstationary Kernel-Weighted Sample Covariances for Nonparametric RegressionEconometric Theory (June 2016), 32(3): 655-685 [See CFDP 1929]

CFP 1521

Richard O. Prum and Larry Samuelson, “Mimicry Cycles, Traps and Chains: Coevolutionary Models of Toucan and Kiskadee Mimicry,” American Naturalist, (June 2016), 187(6): 753-764

CFP 1520

Dirk Bergemann and Stephen Morris, ”Bayes correlated equilibrium and the comparison of information structures in games,” Theoretical Economics (May 2016), 11(2): 487–522 [See CFDP 1909R3]

CFP 1519

Jonathan T. Kolstad and Amanda E. Kowalski, “Mandate-based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform,” Journal of Health Economics (May 2016), 47: 81-106 [See CFDP 1855]

CFP 1518

Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay, “Wage Posting and Business Cycles,” American Economic Review (May 2016), 106(5): 208-13

CFP 1517

Maxim Boycko and Robert J. Shiller, “Popular Attitudes toward Markets and Democracy: Russia and United States Compared 25 Years Later,” American Economic Review (May 2016), 106(5): 224-29 [See CDFP 2030]

CFP 1516

Dirk Bergemann and Stephen Morris, “Information Design, Bayesian Persuasion, and Bayes Correlated Equilibrium,” American Economic Review (May 2016) 106(5): 586-91 [See CDFP 2027]

CFP 1515

Qiying Wang and Peter C. B. Phillips, “Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression with Endogeneity and Long Memory,” Econometric Theory (April 2016), 32(2): 359-401

CFP 1514

Johannes Hörner and Larry Samuelson, “Dynamic Moral Hazard Without Commitment,” International Journal of Game Theory (March 2016), 45(1): 89-136 [See CDFP 1989]

CFP 1513

Jan De Loecker, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Amit K. Khandelwal, Nina Pavcnik, Prices, Markups, and Trade Reform,” Econometrica (March 2016), 84(2): 445-510

CFP 1512

T. Storelvmo, T. Leirvik, U. Lohmann, P. C. B. Phillips, and M. Wild, “Disentangling Greenhouse Warming and Aerosol Cooling to Reveal Earth’s Climate Sensitivity,” Nature Geoscience​ (March 2016), 9(3): 1-6

CFP 1511

Jeremy Lise, Costas Meghir, and Jean-Marc Robin, “Matching, Sorting and Wages,” Review of Economic Dynamics – Volume in honor of Dale Mortensene (January 2016), 19: 63-87 [See CFDP 1886]

CFP 1510

Ana Fostel and John Geanakoplos, “Financial Innovations, Collateral, and Investment,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (January 2016), 8(1): 242-284 [See CFDP 1903R]

CFP 1509

Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Olivier Deschênes, Michael Greenstone, and Joseph S. Shapiro, “Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship over the 20th Century,” Journal of Political Economy (February 2016), 124(1): 105-159

CFP 1508

Amanda E. Kowalski, “Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Expenditure on Medical Care,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (January 2016), 34(1): 107-117

CFP 1507

Xiaohong Chen, David T. Jacho-Chávez, and Oliver B. Linton, “Averaging of an Increasing Number of Moment Condition Estimators,” Econometric Theory (February 2016), 32(1): 30-70

CFP 1506

Joseph G. Altonji, Lisa B. Kahn, and Jamin D. Speer, “Cashier or Consultant? Entry Labor Market Conditions, Field of Study, and Career Success,” Journal of Labor Economics (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S361-S401

CFP 1505

Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay, “Did the Job Ladder Fail after the Great Recession?,” Journal of Labor Economics (January 2016), 34(S1, Pt2): S55-S93

CFP 1504

Peter C. B. Phillips, “Meritocracy Voting: Measuring the Unmeasurable,” Econometric Reviews (2016), 35(1): 2-40 [See CFDP 1833]

CFP 1503

Liang Jiang, Peter C. B. Phillips, and Jun Yu, “New Methodology for Constructing Real Estate Price Indices Applied to the Singapore Residential Market,” Journal of Banking and Finance (December 2015), 61(2): S121-S131 [See CFDP 1969]

CFP 1502

Ana Fostel and John Geanakoplos, “Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization,” Econometrica (December 2015), 83(6): 2191-2229 [See CFDP 1877R3]

CFP 1501

Nuno Limao and Giovanni Maggi, “Uncertainty and Trade Agreements,” American Economic Journal: Microeconomics (November 2015), 7(4): 1-42

CFP 1500

Amanda E. Kowalski, “Estimating the Tradeoff between Risk Protection and Moral Hazard with a Nonlinear Budget Set Model of Health Insurance,” International Journal of Industrial Organization (November 2015), 43: 122-135

CFP 1499

Peter C. B. Phillips, Shu-Ping Shi, and Jun Yu, “Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors,” International Economic Review (November 2015), 56(4): 1079-1134 [See CFDP 1915]

CFP 1498

Peter C. B. Phillips, Shu-Ping Shi, and Jun Yu, “Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500,” International Economic Review (November 2015), 56(4): 1043-1078 [See CFDP 1914]

CFP 1497

Xiaohong Chen and Zhipeng Liao, “Sieve Semiparametric Two-Step GMM under Weak Dependence,” Journal of Econometrics (November 2015), 189(1): 163-186 [See CFDP 2012]

CFP 1496

Johannes Hörner, Satoru Takahashi, and Nicolas Vieille, “Truthful Equilibria in Dynamic Bayesian Games,” Econometrica (September 2015), 83(5): 1795-1848 [See CFDP 1933R]

CFP 1495

Johannes Hörner, Massimo Morelli, and Francesco Squintani, “Mediation and Peace,” Review of Economic Studies, (October 2015), 82(4): 1483-1501 [Supplemental data] [See CFDP 1765]

CFP 1494

Yoonseok Lee and Peter C. B. Phillips, “Model Selection in the Presence of Incidental Parameters,” Journal of Econometrics (October 2015), 188(2): 474-489 [See CFDP 1919]

CFP 1493

Xiaohong Chen and Timothy M. Christensen, “Optimal Uniform Convergence Rates and Asymptotic Normality for Series Estimators under Weak Dependence and Weak Conditions,” Journal of Econometrics (October 2015), 188(2): 447-465 [See CFDP 1976]

CFP 1492

Peter C. B. Phillips, “Edmond Malinvaud: A Tribute to His Contributions in Econometrics,” Econometrics Journal (June 2015), 18(2): A1-A13 [See CFDP 2002]

CFP 1491

Peter C. B. Phillips, “Pitfalls and Possibilities in Predictive Regression (Halbert White Jr. Memorial JFEC Lecture),” Journal of Financial Econometrics (Summer 2015), 13(3): 521-555 [See CFDP 2003]

CFP 1490

Dirk Bergemann and Achim Wambach, “Sequential Information Disclosure in Auctions,” Journal of Economic Theory (September 2015), 159, Part B: 1074-1095 [See CFDP 1900R]

CFP 1489

Dirk Bergemann and Philipp Strack, “Dynamic Revenue Maximization: A Continuous Time Approach,” Journal of Economic Theory (September 2015), 159, Part B: 819-853 [See CFDP 1953]

CFP 1488

Dirk Bergemann and Alessandro Pavan, “Introduction to Symposium on Dynamic Contracts and Mechanism Design,” Journal of Economic Theory (September 2015), 159, Part B: 679-701 [See CFDP 2016]

CFP 1487

Hyungsik Roger Moon, Benoit Perron, and Peter C. B. Phillips, “Incidental Parameters and Dynamic Panel Modeling,” in Badi H. Baltagi (ed.), Handbook of Panel Data, Oxford University Press, 2015, Ch. 4, pp. 111-148